2010 NBA Draft Lottery: Wizards Beat the Odds

    
May 18th, 2010

 

The 2010 NBA Draft Lottery was held Tuesday night, May 18th, in Secaucus, NJ (as always). The Washington Wizards beat the odds and won the #1 pick in the Draft, which presumably will go to John Wall. This is the 6th time in a row the team with the worst record did not win the #1 pick. (Last year, the Clippers won the #1 pick, with Sacramento losing out, and used it on Blake Griffin. Read more about the history of the #1 pick in the Lottery). 

 

The New Jersey Nets had the best chance at #1 with 25% odds, but slid down to 3rd place . Notice however, that they actually had less than a 50% chance combined (46.47) of getting the Top 2 picks. There was actually a better chance (53.53%) that they would get the 3rd or 4th pick. Philadelphia was the night's other big winner, moving up from a 6th place tie with Detroit.

 

Besides John Wall, a guard out of Kentucky, the other likely top picks include his teammate DeMarcus Cousins, Evan Turner of Ohio State, and Derrick Favors, a raw forward out of Georgia Tech.

 

Draft Order

1. Washington

2. Philadelphia

3. New Jersey

4. Minnesota

5. Sacramento

6. Golden State

7. Detroit

8. Los Angeles

9. Utah

10. Indiana

11. New Orleans

12. Memphis

13. Toronto

14. Houston

 

Draft Odds

 

TEAM RECORD CHANCES 1ST 2ND 3RD
New Jersey 12-70 250

25.00%

21.5%

17.7%

Minnesota 15-67 199

19.90%

18.8%

17.1%

Sacramento 25-57 156

15.60%

15.7%

15.5%

Golden State 26-56 104

10.40%

11.2%

12.1%

Washington 26-56 103

10.30%

11.1%

12.0%

Philadelphia 27-55 53

5.30%

6.0%

7.0%

Detroit 27-55 53

5.30%

6.0%

7.0%

LA Clippers 29-53 23

2.20%

2.7%

3.2%

Utah* (29-53) 22

2.20%

2.6%

3.1%

Indiana 32-50 11

1.10%

1.3%

1.6%

New Orleans 37-45 8

0.80%

0.9%

1.2%

Memphis 40-42 7

0.70%

0.8%

1.0%

Toronto 40-42 6

0.60%

0.7%

0.9%

Houston 42-40 5

0.50%

0.6%

0.7%

*Originally the Knicks pick. Good work by Isiah..