NBA Team Needs: Southeast Division
With its teams having 4 of the 14 lottery picks, the Southeast Division
has a chance to improve in a hurry. The Hawks, Bobcats, and Magic have the
opportunity to add some quality young players to their rosters. A good draft
could propel a team to the upper echelon of the division to challenge Miami
and Washington for playoff spots. A poor draft could lead to a team winning
a handful of games and picking high in the lottery again next year with no
apparent improvement (see: Hawks, Atlanta). Which will it be?
Miami Heat, 1st Place,
# 1 seed
59-23, Lost to Detroit 4-3 in
Eastern Conference Semifinals
Pick # 29
The duo of Shaquille O’Neal and Dwyane Wade were good enough to earn the
Heat 59 wins and the # 1 seed in the Eastern Conference this past season.
However, the two-man show did not get the support it needed to overcome a
balanced Pistons team in the conference finals. It is evident that Dwyane
Wade is the future of the Miami franchise and that Shaq will continue to
dominate in the paint for a couple more years, but Miami could upgrade the
supporting cast at nearly every other position. Udonis Haslem (10.9 ppg, 9.1
rpg) plays the role of blue collar worker who keeps possessions alive and
does a lot of the dirty work down low, which is the perfect compliment for
Shaq. However, both Haslem and Alonzo Mourning are free agents and Miami has
little to no cap room with which to entice them, especially if other teams
make gaudy offers to the two big men. As a result, Miami may be looking to
replace one or both of them with a big body who will hustle, defend and
rebound. Wayne Simien, Ronny Turiaf, and David Lee would be good options
with the 29th pick.
If they don’t go big, look for the Heat front office to address the
backcourt. Wade has been fantastic on the wing, but he could use some help
on the perimeter. Eddie Jones is 34 years old and averaged a career low 12.7
points this past season. As Jones continues to age, Stan Van Gundy will need
another young shooter to stretch the defense (Rashad
McCants, Rudy Fernandez,
Francisco Garcia, Salim
Stoudamire). Point guard Damon Jones was solid last season, but is a free
agent and will likely leave for a big contract that Miami will be unable to
match. The Heat would love to pick up Roko-Leni Ukic or
Jarrett Jack to replace Jones
if they are still available, but the next available point guards (John
Gilchrist, Nate Robinson)
are probably a stretch at # 29.
Washington Wizards, 2nd
Place, # 5 seed
45-37, lost to Miami 4-0 in 2nd
round
Pick # 49
In typical professional sports fashion, Larry Hughes had a huge season in
his contract year and is now primed to earn big bucks as a free agent. If
the Wizards can lock him up to a long-term deal, they will have their
backcourt set for the foreseeable future. Hughes, Gilbert Arenas, Antawn
Jamison, and Jarvis Hayes would lock up the guard and wing positions, with
Juan Dixon and Steve Blake providing depth off the bench. With one of the
better backcourts in the Eastern Conference, the Wizards already have what
it takes to get back to the playoffs.
The frontcourt, however, is another story and is the main reason the
Wizards were swept by Miami in the 2nd round. Kwame Brown has
used up all his chances in DC and has effectively been run out of town. That
leaves an undersized frontcourt of Brendan Haywood, Etan Thomas and Jerrod
Jeffries. Unfortunately the Wizards do not have a first round pick and will
have to add depth at # 49. Brandon Bass and
Jawad Williams are the best
big bodies that may be available at that point in the draft, which will not
make a significant improvement to the frontcourt. Ernie Grunfeld may be
better off trading the pick or taking a shot on a project that can be
developed over a couple years such as high-schooler
Andray Blatche or Slovenian
big man Uros Slokar.
Orlando Magic, 3rd
Place
36-46, no playoffs
Picks # 11, 41, 44
Orlando is reasonably well-stocked with talent on the perimeter, but
lacks size and pure shooters. Cuttino Mobley adequately filled the
sharpshooter role until he was shipped to Sacramento mid-season. Steve
Francis, Grant Hill, Doug Christie, and Jameer Nelson all prefer to score
off the dribble, leaving the Magic in need of someone who can stroke it from
behind the arc and keep the defense honest. In addition, they could use a
big, defensive-minded point guard to pair with the undersized Francis and
Nelson. They would love to get a guy who can fill both needs like
Deron Williams or
Gerald Green, but neither is
likely to be on the board at # 11. It is more likely that the Orlando front
office will go after high school sharpshooter Martell Webster, Antoine
Wright, Raymond Felton, or
Joey Graham.
Dwight Howard appears to be the long-term answer in the paint, having
averaged a double-double in his rookie season. It would not be a bad move,
however, to draft another quality big man to take some of the pressure off
of their young star. Current centers Kelvin Cato and Tony Battie don’t fit
well with the up-tempo style that Francis, Hill, Nelson and Howard like to
play. It may be a reach at # 11, but don’t be surprised if Orlando takes an
athletic big man that can run the floor like
Chris Taft, Sean May,
Channing Frye, or
Hakim Warrick.
Charlotte Bobcats, 4th
Place
18-64, no playoffs
Picks # 5, 13
A couple months removed from being an expansion team, the Bobcats have
one mission: add young talent. The Bobcats were somewhat robbed in the draft
lottery, coming out with the # 5 pick despite having the 2nd
worst record in the league. Fortunately they still have 2 lottery picks,
which should significantly upgrade their talent going forward. Bernie
Bickerstaff and the Bobcats front office love
Marvin Williams and
Chris Paul and will be tempted
to package the # 13 pick to move up a couple spots in the draft to get one
of them. In my opinion, they would be wise to stay put and get two future
starters out of this draft since they have needs at multiple positions.
Last year’s # 2 overall pick, Emeka Okafor, was solid as a rookie,
averaging a double-double. Primoz Brezec was a serviceable compliment to
Okafor last season in the paint and Charlotte won’t find an immediate
upgrade in the lottery unless they trade up for Bogut. Instead, they would
be wise to keep their picks and secure their backcourt of the future. Brevin
Knight was solid last year at the point, but is not the long term solution
and is a free agent. And even if
Chris Paul is off the board at # 5, the Bobcats should be able to snag
Deron Williams to be their
franchise point guard. Then they can focus on a shooting guard such as
Antoine Wright or Martell Webster at # 13. If Paul and Williams are not
available at # 5, look for Charlotte to take high school shooting guard
Gerald Green with their first
pick and then a bigger wing player such as
Danny Granger,
Joey Graham,
Charlie Villanueva, or
Ike Diogu at # 13. They could then re-sign Knight for a couple seasons while
the young players develop. Either way, the Bobcats are in good shape for a
two year old franchise.
Atlanta Hawks, 5th
place
13-69, no playoffs
Picks # 2, 31, 59
Once again Atlanta finds itself selecting near the top of the lottery
after another dreadful season. In short, when Tyrone Lue (13.5 ppg) and Tony
Delk (11.9 ppg) are your 2nd and 3rd leading scorers,
you know you need help. The only bright spot appears to be the development
of Al Harrington, who thrived in his first season in Atlanta. Other than
Harrington, the Hawks could use an upgrade everywhere, primarily at point
guard and in the paint. The wing positions have not been locked down either,
but the Hawks have used 5 draft picks in the last two seasons on players
that play either the 2 or the 3. They are praying that one or two of the
likes of Josh Childress, Josh Smith, Boris Diaw, and Donta Smith will
develop into a quality starter on the perimeter.
Atlanta’s options will obviously depend on what Milwaukee does with the
top pick, but it is safe to say that the Hawks will come away with
Andrew Bogut, Marvin Williams,
or Chris Paul at # 2. If Bogut is somehow available, Atlanta would be crazy
not to take him, but it is more likely that they will be left to choose
between Williams and Paul. This puts the Hawks front office in a tough spot.
Williams has more overall potential and would be a huge upgrade at the 3 but
would just lengthen their list of young wing players going through the
development process. Meanwhile, Paul really fills a desperate need at the
point guard position but # 2 may be a slight reach for him by one or two
picks. Look for them to explore trade options, either trading some of their
young wings to make room for Williams or trading down to # 3 or # 4 and
selecting Paul.