Adam Glatczak writes the "Wednesday Onions" column for CollegeHoopsnet.  Bookmark the "Wednesday Onions" homepage and come back each week!

All right, here it goes. Not that my opinion or evaluation means anything, but after looking at a lot of the info, I think this is approximately the list of teams that will be in the tourney.

ACC (6): Duke, Wake, UNC, NCS, GT, Md.
A-10 (3): St. Joe's, Dayton, XU
A-East (1): Vermont
A-Sun (1): C. Fla.
Big East (6): Pitt, UConn, Syr., Prov., SHU, BC.
Big South (1): Liberty
Big 10 (3): Ill., Wisc., Mich. St.
Big 12 (4): KU, Texas, Okie St., Tex. Tech
Big Sky (1): EWU
Big West (2): Utah St., Pacific
CAA (1): VCU
C-USA (6): Cincy, Memphis, DePaul, UAB, UNCC, L'ville
Horizon (1): UIC
Ivy (1): Penn
MAC (1): WMU
MAAC (1): Manhattan
MEAC (1): FAMU
Mid-Con (1): Valpo
Mtn. West (3): Utah, BYU, AFA
MVC (2): SIU, N. Iowa
NEC (1): Monmouth
OVC (1): Murray St.
Patriot (1): Lehigh or American
Pac-10 (3): Stanford, Wash., Ariz.
Southern (1): ETSU
Southland (1): UTSA
SEC (6): Ky., Fla., S.Car., Miss. St., Vandy, Bama
Sun Belt (1): La.-Laf.
SWAC (1): Alabama St.
WAC (2): Nevada, UTEP
WCC (1): Gonzaga

I added it up a couple of times, and I think that's 65 teams. Probably the teams closest to being out in that list are UTEP, Utah St., Air Force, maybe Arizona, Dayton, Seton Hall or Alabama (and I'd be shocked if those last 2 missed). I would even say in that order. (Personal note: I hope WAC commissioner/committee member Karl Benson is flexing some muscle to get UTEP in, since 1 team from the WAC this yr. would be a travesty, especially since they tied for the league title with Nevada). Everyone else i can't imagine having to sweat. If the committee is doing its job correctly this year, there really isn't going to be a whole lot to dispute as far as who's in and who's out. Seeding, on the other hand...

Teams that could be in instead of any of these are Florida State, LSU, Oklahoma, Richmond, Colorado. Teams like Notre Dame, Georgia or Michigan are longshots, and if they get in we're going to have issues. My top list is how I think it will and should play out, but my skeptical side has me guessing FSU or another Big 12 team will be in and someone like UTEP or Utah St. will be out. As I've said on other posts, i just can't imagine the big conferences allotting 12 at-large bids for the non-BCS leagues, and "only" 28 bids total for themselves.

I personally think Richmond has the best case of any of these 'just miss' teams, but the # that may hurt them is 2-10 vs. the RPI top 50, even though the 2 wins were at Kansas and at Colorado. They went out and played a lot of people, though.

As far as the others, the numbers just don't work out for OU, CU shouldn't get in ahead of Richmond, FSU should be killed by its road record, and LSU isn't the same team without Lloreda.

I think Florida State would've been practically a shoo-in if some of these upsets hadn't occurred late this week. I think the Mountain West tourney w/Utah, the A-10 w/Xavier and the Big West w/Utah St. losing, those are the 3 that really are costing bids. (I wasn't surprised someone other than SIU won the MVC tourney).

*Couple of late notes. Personal guess: Every single one of the teams from the so-called Big 6 conferences will be a 10 seed or higher. Also, the more you look at the numbers, it's almost eerie how similar Florida State and Virginia are to each other. They have so many close losses, but unless the committee thinks close=wins, I'm more and more comfortable saying the Seminoles shouldn't and won't be in.

Feel free to email Adam with questions he'll answer in the Audibles section: arfboy37@yahoo.com