Brand makes the correct
call, games are on
We had a scare there, but
in the end, everything is right again. Give credit to Myles Brand for
wising up. The NCAA prez spoke initially of possibly postponing the
NCAA Tournament, but after researching the idea he did the right thing
and said the games are a go.
That was the right
decision. No doubt we need to respect the service men and women
overseas. However, life shouldn’t stop in the U.S.
We need this. Too much talk
about war is nothing less than depressing. America needs a diversion.
Many have looked at
September 11th in saying games should be postponed. But this isn’t
September 11th. This isn’t something surprising. This is something
expected, and something the U.S. is bringing upon itself, right or
wrong. Why should life stop because the president declares war?
Playing the games isn’t being disrespectful, it’s life carrying on.
The only logical reason for
postponing was if there was grave danger to the NCAA sites. If not,
then let’s play.
Games were played in 1991
the same night the Gulf War started. The Final Four was played when
Ronald Reagan was shot. There’s no reason why games shouldn’t be
played tomorrow.
On the court, though, it
will be very interesting to see how this week’s events affect the
tourney participants. It is impossible to analyze the war and other
distractions this week could very well play a factor.
Let’s hope not. This is the
NCAA Tournament, two of the best days of any calendar year. We’re
shouldn’t let a war take away from that. To paraphrase ultra-cool
Missouri Valley Conference basketball TV announcer Mitch Holthus:
“Game on in America.”
Previewing Thursday’s games
The real NCAA Tournament
starts Thursday, not Tuesday. The Scarlet Letter (a.k.a. opening
round, a.k.a. “don’t call it play-in”) game was played Tuesday, with
UNC-Asheville getting a hard-earned 92-84 overtime win over Texas
Southern. The Bulldogs now are in the field, while the Tigers aren’t.
Don’t buy all the propaganda, the play-in game is not a real part of
the NCAA Tournament. If it was, it would be scheduled for CBS, just
like the rest of the tournament, and it would be played in front of a
full house, not the hearty but still small gatherings that have
checked it out the past three years in Dayton (give credit to the
Dayton area; the play-in game is played anywhere else and it draws
about 5,000 people, tops).
It’s an insult that two
schools even have to participate in a play-in game. If there’s a real
problem with 31 automatic bids, take away the automatic from the
Mountain West, the newest of the Division I conferences. We know the
BCS schools will never give up an at-large bid, so considering the
Mountain West schools sold out the WAC schools, why not punish them?
Don’t punish conferences who have been Division I for a long time.
In a nanosecond, small
schools would trade “winning in the tournament” in a play-in game for
the chance at a number one seed. Thanks to the play-in game, though,
one team gets cheated out of that, and also gets cheated out of a shot
at a true NCAA Tournament experience.
Play-in or no, though, we
won’t let that stop us from enjoying the games Thursday. Here are some
things to look for in all 16 first-round matchups.
East Regional
#1 Oklahoma vs. #16 South
Carolina State
Expect a low-scoring game
here, somewhere along the lines of 65-48. The Sooners aren’t good
enough offensively to make this an utter whitewash, but the Bulldogs
don’t have the inside beef to hang with Oklahoma.
Key for Oklahoma:
Consistency. All year, whenever the Sooners seemed ready to live up to
their considerable preseason hype as the nation’s best team, they’ve
thrown an offensive clunker like they did in the Big 12 final against
Missouri. It’s hard to bet against a team that went to the Final Four
last year, but it’s possible this year’s team isn’t as good as last
year’s. OU can’t afford a stinker here; the Sooners don’t want to let
the Bulldogs hang around.
Key for South Carolina
State: Moses Malone, Jr. Yes, the son of Mr. “Fo’-Fo’-Fo’” himself
plays for the Bulldogs, and in fact is S.C. State’s leading scorer.
However, he only had five in the Bulldogs’ MEAC championship game win
over Hampton. He has the talent to play with a Hollis Price, and if he
has a strong game the underdogs could hang for awhile.
#8 California vs. #9 N.C.
State
Why are Ben Braun’s teams
always forgotten? Many are picking the Wolfpack to pull the upset
here, but a lot of that is because those folks haven’t seen Cal play.
In all honesty, the Golden Bears don’t look like they should win as
much as they do, but Joe Shipp and Amit Tamir carry this team a long
way. N.C. State has a lot of momentum carrying over from the ACC
Tournament, but in the past that hasn’t always meant much when NCAA
Tournament play starts.
Key for California:
Perimeter defense. The Cal guards and even forwards have to stop the
Wolfpack from putting on a three-point display like they have at times
this year.
Key for N.C. State:
Play like they’re at home. Until the ACC Tournament, N.C. State was
nothing less than incompetent when playing away from Raleigh. This
team is better than that.
South Regional
#5 Connecticut vs. #12 BYU
This may be one of the most
anticipated first-round games in several years, thanks to the
selection committee’s bracket screw-up in placing the Cougars. This is
also a much better game than many want to say, and anyone thinking BYU
can’t make the Sweet 16 is misinformed and disrespecting the Cougars.
You don’t win 23 games with smoke and mirrors. UConn has more speed
and athleticism than BYU, but watching Rafael Araujo against Emeka
Okeafor could be a great inside matchup.
Key for Connecticut:
The backcourt. If Ben Gordon and Taliek Brown are on a roll shooting
well and pushing the tempo, UConn is a Final Four-caliber team. When
they aren’t, the Huskies struggle to score and look really, really
average.
Key for BYU: Tempo. The
Cougars don’t want to let Connecticut’s running game get into high
gear, because that’s when the Huskies are most dangerous. A halfcourt
game would certainly favor the Cougars.
#4 Stanford vs. #13 San
Diego
Like California, Stanford
is another Pac-10 team not too many know much about this year. Of
course, not as many are picking an upset in this game because east
coasters don’t know much about San Diego, either. Well, the Cardinal
is a young team that has been up (almost beating Arizona) and down
(losses to the likes of USC, Montana and Richmond, the last two at
home) but mostly up. San Diego has Oklahoma State transfer Jason Keep,
a real bull inside, but guys like Jason Blair and Roy Morris could
also give the Cardinal trouble, too. This is a good matchup. Stanford
should beat San Diego, but if the Toreros hit some threes and don’t
turn the ball over, this will go down to the final minutes.
Key for Stanford: The
Cardinal is like Syracuse in their youth. Stanford’s freshmen need to
play with the same poise they have all year. Also, San Diego doesn’t
have strong play at the point, and Stanford could take control of this
game by forcing turnovers.
Key for San Diego: Same
as it has been all season. Keep must stay out of foul trouble. If he
does, the Toreros have a guy inside who can score on almost anyone.
Also, USD is a bad free-throw shooting team, and NEEDS to make foul
shots late if they have a lead.
Midwest Regional
#5 Wisconsin vs. #12 Weber
State
This is one of those trendy
upset picks, but that’s not surprising because Wisconsin hasn’t
received much respect all year. The Badgers are better than they get
credit for, but this will be tough because these are really two evenly
matched teams. Position-by-position, they match up together well, but
Wisconsin gets a slight edge off the bench. Weber State needs to play
with more discipline than it did in the Big Sky final, or this will be
an uphill battle. The Wildcats aren’t going to pummel you from
outside, so it’s imperative the Badgers try to stop Weber’s
penetration. Interestingly enough, these two have some recent history.
Weber State beat Wisconsin last year in the Big Island Invitational.
Key for Wisconsin: Kirk
Penney. The Aussie could take over this game by making some threes. If
he shoots poorly, the Badgers better look out.
Key for Weber State:
Jermaine Boyette is an excellent player, but he needs help. Slobodan
Ocokoljic was almost invisible in the Big Sky final game. He needs to
play disciplined and stay out of foul trouble. Watch Nic Sparrow, a
6-4 forward who is much more athletic than he looks.
#4 Dayton vs. #13 Tulsa
One of those real mystery
games of the first-round. Everyone knows Tulsa’s recent NCAA history,
but this Golden Hurricane team isn’t as good as most of those that won
in the tourney. Dayton has been a surprise all year, and the Flyers
are a team in the truest sense. This one should be good, and there’s
almost no chance at all this will be a blowout either way. These two
are too much alike.
Key for Dayton: Stop
Kevin Johnson. When Johnson is dominating, it opens up the entire
Golden Hurricane offense, and Tulsa plays much more freely.
Key for Tulsa: Three-point
shooting. If Tulsa hits a lot of triples, the Golden Hurricane will be
very difficult to beat. If they’re shooting poorly, they don’t have
enough inside weapons other than Johnson to compensate.
#6 Missouri vs. #11
Southern Illinois
Another of the tastiest
games of the first day. Many are picking Missouri, in part because the
Tigers looked good in the Big 12 Tournament, while Southern Illinois
was awful in the MVC final. A closer look, though, reveals Mizzou had
some struggles late in the year and almost lost in the Big 12
quarterfinals to Oklahoma State, while Southern Illinois was much more
dominant than Creighton the second half of the MVC season. Both are
tournament-tough, and the Salukis have the athletes to hang with
Rickey Paulding and the rest of the flying Tigers. MVC schools usually
have large chips on their shoulders when playing Big 12 teams, so this
is no picnic for Missouri.
Key for Missouri:
Arthur Johnson needs a big game. These two teams are pretty similar,
but Johnson gets an edge offensively over SIU’s Sylvester Willis. If
he doesn’t score much, the Tigers may be in trouble.
Key for Southern Illinois:
“Big Game” Jermaine Dearman needs to live up to his nickname. When
possessed he can dominate both ends of the floor, but a pedestrian
game will almost certainly spell doom for the Salukis.
#3 Marquette vs. #14 Holy
Cross
Everyone knows how the
Crusaders have played as low seeds in the last two NCAA Tournaments,
so don’t think for a second Marquette is overlooking its opponent. The
Golden Eagles also want to atone for last year’s first-round loss to
Tulsa. Expect both teams to be very well-prepared, so this will be a
grinder. Holy Cross is very tall, but Marquette still has the edge
inside; the Golden Eagles are a lot more than just Dwyane Wade. Don’t
be surprised by another close loss for the Crusaders.
Key for Marquette:
Tough interior defense on the Holy Cross big guys will be important.
Patriot League foe American did this a lot to the Crusaders, and it
gave them fits.
Key for Holy Cross: A
big game for the guards. Jave Meade and Brian Wilson will need to hit
some outside shots to prevent Marquette from collapsing in on Patrick
Whearty and Tim Szatko.
West Regional
#1 Arizona vs. #16 Vermont
Well...obviously this is a
mismatch on paper. The consensus number one team for almost all season
against the first-time tourney entrant that gives only 10 1/2
scholarships. In truth, Vermont is better than other #16 seeds, and
UVM has some excellent players, particularly Taylor Coppenrath, who
has Larry Bird-like qualities, according to coach Tom Brennan. This
just isn’t a good matchup for the Catamounts, though. Vermont would’ve
had a better chance against an Oklahoma. Still, will there be anyone
outside of Arizona fans not rooting for the Catamounts? Vermont is
still a wonderful story and the epitome of the underdog.
Key for Arizona: Press.
Expect the dormant Wildcat press to be revived for this one. Vermont
does not have a true point guard and isn’t particularly quick. If
Lute’s boys do press and the Catamounts lose their head, this could be
ugly.
Key for Vermont: Don’t
get intimidated, by Arizona or by the thought of being in the NCAA
Tournament. The Catamounts are the best of the #16 seeds, and the
Wildcats have proven this year that if an opponent doesn’t lose their
heads, they can hang with Arizona for awhile.
#8 Cincinnati vs. #9
Gonzaga
The Bulldogs are hoping to
finally be healthy for this one, and they’ll need to be. Otherwise,
Cincy could have a substantial advantage inside. This should be fun,
because these are two tournament-tested teams. The Bearcats have been
Team Turmoil for much of the season, though, and don’t exactly come
into the NCAAs on a roll. Still, Cincy matches up well with the Zags,
but if Blake Stepp is hot, he’ll probably be the difference.
Key for Cincinnati: UC
needs an offensive spark, or at least the mental toughness to weather
any Gonzaga runs. The Bulldogs are prone to droughts of mediocrity, so
the Bearcats can certainly win with an effort like they had against
Oklahoma State or Oregon.
Key for Gonzaga:
Rebounding. All year, the Zags have been inconsistent in this area. It
won’t be any easier against a Bob Huggins-led team.
#5 Notre Dame vs. #12
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
This one has upset written
all over it. The Panthers come into this game very, very hot. Notre
Dame appears to have petered out late in the season. Usually there’s a
game like this in the tournament every year, where a really hot team
plays a team that struggled down the stretch, and usually the hot team
prevails. Wisconsin-Milwaukee’s press is something the Irish don’t see
much in the Big East, though Chris Thomas is the kind of point guard
you want breaking a press. Tom Davis’s Iowa teams were always very
difficult to play in the first round of the NCAA Tournament, and Bruce
Pearl was a former assistant to Dr. Tom and almost copies that press
here. If Notre Dame can get easy baskets against the press, it could
be another story, but if they don’t, guys like Clay Tucker and Dylan
Page will steal the show here.
Key for Notre Dame:
Regain that early-season form. If they do, the Irish are good enough
to last several rounds. If they don’t, their tournament stay could be
very short.
Key for UWM: The
Panthers need to hold their own inside. Notre Dame doesn’t have a
dominant front line, so UWM should be able to hang in this area. If
they can’t, that spells trouble.
#4 Illinois vs. #13 Western
Kentucky
There are more than a few
past instances where teams that won conference tournaments just prior
to the NCAAs have struggled in the tourney. That is certainly what
Western Kentucky is hoping happens to the Fighting Illini, who
otherwise are playing very, very well right now. Illinois is the best
team the Big Ten has to offer, and it’s hard to picture a Big Ten
champ losing in the first round. This is a tough game for the
Hilltopppers, and though they have players to match up against Brian
Cook, they’ll still have a hard time guarding him. Otherwise, Western
comes into the NCAAs playing almost as well as the Illini. Watch
Illinois guard Dee Brown against WKU’s Patrick Sparks. Whoever gets
the best of that matchup could very well determine who gets the upper
hand here. However, the question is whether WKU has a go-to guy if
this game comes down to a final possession?
Key for Illinois: Roger
Powell has stepped up late this year. When playing well he makes the
Fighting Illini much better.
Key for Western Kentucky:
No dead spells. The Hilltoppers occasionally dry up offensively.
They can’t afford that in this game.
#6 Creighton vs. #11
Central Michigan
Maybe the best first-round
game of all, and it’s a shame one has to be eliminated by playing the
other. Aside from the MVC final when they blitzed Southern Illinois,
the Bluejays struggled most of the second-half of the year. When
playing their best, though, the Bluejays are a legit top 15 club.
Meanwhile, Central Michigan has kicked it to another level lately. The
Chippewa guards have been money from the perimeter in recent weeks,
meaning teams can’t just collapse on stud center Chris Kaman. This
should be a dandy, and it wouldn’t be a shock if either team made it
to the Sweet 16.
Key for Creighton: Make
this a helter-skelter game. That’s when the Bluejays are at their
best, because they’re forcing turnovers like crazy. The Jays also play
a lot more unselfishly when the pace is chaotic. If they can do that,
it doesn’t matter how big or athletic the other team is, the Jays are
very, very difficult to beat.
Key for Central Michigan:
Ride Kaman as far as he’ll take ya’. Man to man, Creighton has no
one who should be able to guard the seven-footer. Even if the Bluejays
try to zone him, he’s still the Chippewas’ meal ticket. If CU does
zone, though, watch guards J.R. Wallace and T.J. Meerman. If they hit
threes, CMU could easily do what last year’s West #11 seed Wyoming did
and upset the “in” “mid-major” of the year.
#3 Duke vs. #14 Colorado
State
The Dukies won the ACC
Tournament without putting together a complete game. If Duke does play
well for a full game in this tourney, look out. It’s probably too much
to expect Colorado State to play like it did in the Mountain West
tourney, considering the Rams really didn’t play that well all season.
Still, if there’s a carryover effect, this could be a good one.
Key for Duke: The Blue
Devils could force a lot of turnovers with pressure defense on the
perimeter.
Key for Colorado State:
Show the same guts they did in the Mountain West Tournament, and Duke
will be in for a battle. The Rams also could have a distinct advantage
inside, so give the ball to Matt Nelson and Brian Greene as much as
possible.
#7 Memphis vs. #10 Arizona
State
This should be fun. There
may not be many better one-on-one matchups in this whole tournament
than the one you’ll get here with Chris Massie against Ike Diogu.
Memphis has been playing very well late in the year, but don’t
underestimate the Sun Devils. Arizona State has been close many, many
times against good teams this year, and is very capable of winning
here.
Key for Memphis: Don’t
be disappointed by the seed and play hard. There have been many
instances in the past of teams feeling shafted by the selection
committee and then letting it carry over into their play.
Key for Arizona State:
We know what Diogu and Curtis Millage will produce. What ASU needs is
for a guy like Tommy Smith or Kyle Dodd to have an unexpected big
game. Smith could give ASU an edge inside, or else Dodd could stretch
the Tigers with three-point shooting.
#2 Kansas vs. #15 Utah
State
The Jayhawks get a team
that is much better than your average #15 seed, and this won’t be a
cakewalk. Stew Morrill’s teams are always ready to play against the
big boys. This isn’t his best team at Utah State, but Kansas still
won’t be able to just go through the motions here. Fortunately, one
thing you can’t accuse Roy Williams’s teams of doing is
underestimating first round opponents.
Key for Kansas:
Rebounding. Utah State is the top rebounding team in the Big West. The
Jayhawks still should be better than that, and if they dominate the
glass the Aggies could get frustrated very quickly. Also watch KU’s
shooting; when this team is cold they are very, very ordinary.
Key for Utah State:
Dictate tempo. Kansas will want to run at every opportunity; the
Aggies like a game in the 60s. A track meet is not good for USU.