Big 12 Basketball: Fantasy Preview

    
October 26th, 2009

This is the 2nd of six fantasy stats projections of BCS conference starters. One of my favorite series of the year, and a helpful guide when drafting for fantasy college basketball leagues. For an idea of whether I know what I'm talking about, check out last year's Big 12 Stats Projection. As always, some teams were nailed better then others.. Baylor & Texas A&M were rock solid, Kansas though was particularly weak (underestimated both Collins & Aldrich.)

 

Keep in mind stats are highly dependent on minutes, and freshmen are obviously the hardest to predict. I try to note places below where other starters not listed may emerge. Stats are listed by ppg, rpg, and then apg.

 

BIG 12

 

BAYLOR

G Tweety Carter - 13, 4, 4
G LaceDarius Dunn - 17, 5, 1

G Nolan Dennis - 10, 3, 2
F Quincy Acy - 11, 6, 1

F Ekpe Udoh - 10, 7, 1

Notes: I don't expect Dunn's ppg to rise that much as Baylor should be a more well-rounded team this year. Udoh never averaged more than 6 ppg at Michigan, but should do better than that.


COLORADO

G Cory Higgins - 19, 6, 4
G Nate Tomlinson - 8, 4, 4
G Dwight Thorne II - 12, 4, 3
F Austin Dufault - 12, 5, 1
C Shane Harris-Tunks - 9, 7, 1

Notes: Higgins quietly put up big time numbers last year and could be one of the Big 12's top fantasy guys. Expect Dufault's game to take a step forward.

IOWA STATE

G Diante Garrett - 10, 3, 6
G Lucca Staiger - 12, 3, 3
F Craig Brackins - 19, 11, 1

F Marquis Gilstrap - 13, 6, 2
F Jamie Vanderbeken - 9, 5, 1


Notes: Brackins put up 20 ppg last year, but I expect his scoring to come down a bit as his surrounding cast improves. Gilstrap, a Juco transfer, could put up some of the best numbers from any newcomer.

KANSAS
G Sherron Collins - 18, 4, 7

G Tyshawn Taylor - 11, 3, 3
G Xavier Henry - 14, 5, 3
F Marcus Morris - 9, 6, 1
F Cole Aldrich - 17, 10, 1

Notes: Xavier Henry is the big-time recruit who should help take the pressure off of Collins to score. Markieff Morris should also put up worthwhile numbers off the bench.

KANSAS STATE

G Jacob Pullen - 15, 3, 4
G Denis Clemente - 16, 3, 5

F Dominque Sutton - 9, 6, 1
F Jamar Samuels - 12, 6, 1
F Wally Judge - 9, 6, 1


Notes: Samuels could be the team's most improved fantasy performer from last year. Judge is a heralded freshman, but don't expect him to blow up the stat sheet.

MISSOURI

G Zaire Taylor - 10, 4, 5

G Kim English - 13, 3, 2
G JT Tiller - 11, 3, 4
F Keith Ramsey - 7, 5, 1
F Justin Safford - 9, 6, 2

Notes: English's production could double now that he moves into the starting 5. Safford showed off his range in the post-season, but he'll certainly have his off nights.

NEBRASKA

G Lance Jeter - 7, 4, 3
G Sek Henry - 9, 3, 3
G Ryan Anderson - 11, 4, 3
G Toney McCray - 9, 4, 2
F Christopher Niemann - 11, 6, 1

Notes: Anderson's scoring has actually dropped each year, but I expect a bounce-back senior campaign. Niemann is a newcomer who sat out last season, but will be expected to contribute from day one.

OKLAHOMA

G Tommy Mason-Griffin - 10, 3, 7

G Willie Warren - 17, 4, 4
G Tony Crocker - 12, 4, 2
F Keith Gallon - 10, 7, 2
F Orlando Allen - 7, 5, 1

Notes: Warren should be helped by the addition of Mason-Griffin, a pg who can distribute the ball. "Tiny" Gallon has huge potential, but might not hit his statistical stide until next season.

 

OKLAHOMA STATE

G Ryan Penn - 7, 2, 4
G James Anderson - 20, 6, 3
G Obi Muonelo - 15, 8, 2
F - Marshall Moses - 10, 7, 1

F - Matt Pilgrim - 8, 5, 1

Notes: Eaton's departure leaves a big hole at PG. Penn is not a lock starter, as he'll face competition for those minutes. Without many other options, Anderson could be the Big 12's scoring leader.

 

TEXAS

G Avery Bradley - 12, 3, 3
G Jai Lucas - 9, 4, 4
F Damion James - 17, 10, 2
F Gary Johnson - 12, 8, 1
C Dexter Pittman - 13, 9, 1

Notes: Justin Mason, who started last year, could return to the starting lineup, relegating Johnson to the 6th man role. Texas has another viable fantasy option off the bench in Jordan Hamilton, a wing who can really score the ball.
 

 

TEXAS A&M

G Donald Sloan - 14, 4, 5
G Derrick Roland - 8, 3, 3
G BJ Holmes - 10, 3, 2

F David Loubeau - 10, 7, 1
F Bryan Davis - 13, 8, 1

Notes: Loubeau only played 14 mpg last year, but should see double the time now that Elonu moves on. Davis' numbers  should be right there with just about every big-man in the league besides Aldrich.

 

TEXAS TECH

G John Roberson - 16, 4, 6
G Nick Okorie - 10, 3, 2
F Mike Singletary - 14, 7, 2
F Brad Reese - 11, 4, 2
F Robert Lewandowski - 10, 6, 1

 

Notes: Reese is a Juco newcomer known for scoring the ball. Despite a lack of notoriety, Roberson's numbers are some of the best you'll find in the backcourt.

 

Projected Big 12 Leaders

 

Top PPG
1) James Anderson (20)
2) Craig Brackins (19)
3) Cory Higgins (19)

 

Top RPG
1) Craig Brackins (11)
2) Cole Aldrich (10)

3) Damion James (10)

 

Top APG
1) Sherron Collins (7)
2) Tommy Mason-Griffin (7)

3) Diante Garrett/John Roberson (6)

 

Fantasy Stats Preview Archive

- ACC