ACC Basketball: 5-Year Ranking

Shawn Siegel — Thu, 05 Nov 2009 11:23:02 -0500

ACC 5-YEAR STANDINGS

CHN's annual 5-year ranking answers a simple question is in a simple manner: How do ACC teams stack up over the last five years?

Teams get points for league wins, making the postseason (NIT or NCAA) and winning games in the Big Dance. NIT wins are meaningless here, as are non-conference wins. Also, league tournaments wins are not taken into account. (An original trial-scoring system included points for conference tourney wins. But the flukish nature of these tourney's did more harm than hurt: ie, 2008 Georgia, 2006 Syracuse, and 2004 Maryland ended up getting too much credit despite the reality that they were mediocre to sub-par teams.)

100 total points is set up to be the equivalent of batting .300 in baseball.. anything above and beyond is all-world stuff. 50 points is mediocre and you only start to get bad below 40 points.

Pos.	Was	Team	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	Wins	Gms.	Points

1	1	UNC	14	12	11	14	13	64	80	80	Win %
			Champs	NCAA 32	Elite 8	Final 4	Champs			46	Post Pts.
										126

2	2	Duke	11	14	8	13	11	57	80	71	Win %
			Sweet 16	2nd Round	1st Round	2nd Round	Sweet 16			22	Post Pts.
										93

3	3	BC	13	11	10	4	9	47	80	59	Win %
			2nd Round	Sweet 16	2nd Round	X	1st Round			16	Post Pts.
			*Big East							75

4	5	MD	7	8	10	8	7	40	80	50	Win %
			NIT	NIT	2nd Round	NIT	2nd Round			11	Post Pts.
										61

5	7	Wake For.	13	3	5	7	11	39	80	49	Win %
			2nd Round	NIT	X	X	1st Round			7	Post Pts.
										56

6	11	Clemson	5	7	7	10	9	38	80	48	Win %
			NIT	NIT	NIT	1st Round	1st Round			7	Post Pts.
										55

6	8	VA Tech	8	4	10	9	7	38	80	48	Win %
			NIT	X	2nd Round	NIT	NIT			7	Post Pts.
										55

8	10	FSU	4	9	7	7	10	37	80	46	Win %
			X	NIT	NIT	NIT	1st Round			5	Post Pts.
										51

9	6	NC State	7	10	5	4	6	32	80	40	Win %
			Sweet 16	2nd Round	NIT	X	X			11	Post Pts.
										51

10	12	Miami	7	7	4	8	7	33	80	41	Win %
			NIT	NIT	X	2nd Round	NIT			7	Post Pts.
										48

11	9	Virginia	4	7	11	5	4	31	80	39	Win %
			X	NIT	2nd Round	X	X			5	Post Pts.
										44

12	4	GA Tech	8	4	8	7	2	29	80	36	Win %
			2nd Round	X	1st Round	X	X			6	Post Pts.
										42

Was = Last year's rankig

-Ties are broken by favoring conference winning %

ACC Thoughts

- UNC has officially blown past Duke in terms of ACC dominance.

- BC is solidly in 3rd. They're the only other team besides UNC & Duke to have won 9 league games in 3 of the last 4 years.

- Georgia Tech plummets like a stone now that a dismal 2 win season comes onto the books, and their surprising 2004 Finals run comes off.

- Georgia Tech has won the least amount of ACC games over the last 5 years.

- NC State's slow demise continues, and with their 2005 Sweet 16 trip coming off the books this year, they could fall even farther.

Postseason Points

NIT = 1

NCAA 1st Round = 2

NCAA 2nd Round = 4

Sweet = 6

Elite 8 = 8

Final Four = 10

Final = 11

Champs = 12

Other 5-Year Rankings

SEC Basketball: Fantasy Preview

Shawn Siegel — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 12:10:21 -0500

This is the 5th of six fantasy stats projections for BCS conference starters. One of my favorite series of the year, and a helpful guide when drafting for fantasy college basketball leagues. For an idea of whether I know what I'm talking about, check out last year's SEC Stats Projection (SEC happened to be by far my worst predictions overall). As always, some teams were nailed better then others.. Tennessee was decent, Vanderbilt was particularly bad.

Keep in mind stats are highly dependent on minutes, and freshmen are obviously the hardest to predict. I try to note places below where other starters not listed may emerge or where competition for major minutes exist. Stats are listed by ppg, rpg, and then apg.

SEC

ALABAMA

G Mikhail Torrance - 12, 3, 4
G Senario Hillman - 15, 3, 3
F Tony Mitchell - 10, 6, 2
F JaMychal Green - 14, 8, 1
C Justin Knox - 7, 6, 1

Notes: Hillman improved substantially last season, and could lead the team in scoring this year. Mitchell is a freshman who will contribute immediately. Demetrius Johnson will add productive minutes behind Knox.

ARKANSAS

G Courtney Fortson - 14, 5, 7
G Stefan Welsh - 10, 3, 3
G Rotnei Clarke - 15, 3, 1
F Michael Sanchez - 6, 6, 1
F Michael Washington - 15, 11, 1

Notes: Washington was a pleasant surprise last year, almost doubling my projected 8 ppg. Clarke has the ability to light it up from deep and Arkansas would be better off he took more shots away from Fortson.

AUBURN

G DeWayne Reed - 15, 3, 4
G Tay Waller - 11, 3, 2
G Frankie Sullivan - 11, 3, 2

F Lucas Hargrove - 9, 7, 2

F Kenny Gabriel - 6, 4, 1

Notes: As usual, Auburn is a guard-heavy team. Reed took a big step up last year and expect Sullivan to be this year's most improved player after averaging 7.6 ppg last year. Gabriel, a freshman, will battle other newcomers like Rob Chubb for minutes up front.

FLORIDA
G Erving Walker - 9, 3, 2
G Kenny Boynton - 14, 4, 3
F Chandler Parsons - 11, 6, 2
F Dan Werner - 8, 6, 2
F Alex Tyus - 14, 8, 1

Notes: I expected a bigger year from Parsons last year, who has more talent then he's shown. Boynton is a big-time scorer who will be one of the league's most productive newcomers. Vernon Macklin, a Georgetown transfer, will also see important minutes and could add 5 ppg and 5 rpg a game.

GEORGIA
G Dustin Ware - 8, 3, 4

G Travis Leslie - 11, 4, 1
G DeMario Mayfield - 7, 3, 1

F Albert Jackson - 6, 6, 1
F Howard (Trey) Thompkins - 17, 9, 1

Notes: Thompkins is the lone SEC-quality player on the roster and should have opportunity to fill up the stat-sheet. Mayfield is a freshman, and probably the best of weak options on the wing. Leslie has potential to be a minor surprise.

KENTUCKY

G Eric Bledsoe - 9, 4, 4

G John Wall - 16, 5, 6
F Darius Miller - 10, 5, 3
F DeMarcus Cousins - 11, 7, 1
F Patrick Patterson - 19, 10, 2

Notes: Miller's #'s were disappointing as a freshman, but he should thrive with so many weapons around him. Wall, Bledsoe, and Cousins are all freshman. Last year, Perry Stevenson saw 28 mpg, but his time will be severely reduced due to all the newcomers.

LSU

G Bo Spencer - 13, 3, 4
G Chris Bass - 6, 3, 3
G Aaron Dotson - 8, 3, 2
F Tasmin Mitchell - 19, 9, 2
C Storm Warren - 8, 6, 1

Notes: Mitchell and Spencer are the only players on the roster with any real experience. Dotson is a freshman who might be the 3rd most talented player on the team, but will take time to develop. Senior Alex Farrer may get minutes over Bass, but don't expect much production from him.

MISSISSIPPI STATE

G Dee Bost - 14, 5, 5
G Barry Stewart - 13, 4, 2
G Phil Turner - 10, 6, 2

F Ravern Johnson - 11, 4, 1
C Jarvis Varnado - 15, 10, 1

Notes: Besides the #'s listed, Varnado also blocks a ton of shots and shoots a high % from the floor. Renardo Sidney is awaiting his NCAA fate, but would be expected to see 25+ mpg if eligibile. Kodi Augustus is a highly efficient reserve forward who would probably score double-digits ppg if he was on a team like LSU.

OLE MISS

G Chris Warren - 17, 3, 5
G Terrico White - 17, 5, 3
G Eniel Polynice - 10, 5, 5
F Reginald Buckner - 8, 6, 1
F Murphy Holloway - 9, 8, 1

Notes: Ole Miss has 3 other contributing front-line players in Zach Graham, Terrance Henry, and DeAngelo Riley. Graham averaged 26 mpg last year. White averaged 13.7 ppg as a freshman and will only get better.

SOUTH CAROLINA

G Devan Downey - 21, 4, 5
G Brandis Raley-Ross - 10, 3, 2
F Dominique Archie - 13, 7, 1
F Sam Muldrow - 7, 6, 0
F Mike Holmes - 10, 9, 0

Notes: The Gamecocks return 4 of 5 starters, and Raley-Ross (the new starter) played 25 mpg last year as well, so we know what to expect from these guys. Evaldas Baniulis averaged 6 ppg as a sharp-shooter off the bench and could score 10 ppg if given enough minutes.

TENNESSEE

G Bobby Maze - 10, 3, 3
G Scotty Hopson - 13, 4, 2
G JP Prince - 12, 5, 5
F Tyler Smith - 15, 8, 3
F Wayne Chism - 15, 9, 1

Notes: All of these guys are holdovers from last year. Hopson, who had a rather blah freshman year (9.2 ppg on 42.8% shooting), has the best chance to take a noticeable step up. Brian Williams is a servicable reserve forward who should contribute 7 ppg and 6 rpg.

VANDERBILT

G Jermaine Beal - 11, 3, 4
G Brad Tinsley - 10, 3, 3
F Andre Walker - 8, 6, 1
F Jeffrey Taylor - 15, 7, 2
F AJ Ogilvy - 18, 9, 2

Notes: A deep squad, Vanderbilt has 3 other players worth noting. John Jenkins is a heralded freshman who will see 20+ mpg in the backcourt. Lance Goulbourne is a wing with talent, and Festus Ezeli will see 15+ mpg when Vandy wants to play big.

Projected SEC Leaders

Top PPG
1) Devan Downey (21)
2) Tasmin Mitchell (19)
3) Patrick Patterson (19)

Top RPG
1) Mike Washinton (11)
2) Jarvis Varnado (10)

3) Patrick Patterson (10)

Top APG
1) Courtney Fortson (7)
2) John Wall (6)

3) Bost/Downey/Polynice/Prince/Warren (5)

Fantasy Stats Preview Archive

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Pac-10 Basketball: 5-Year Ranking

Shawn Siegel — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 10:18:52 -0500

PAC-10 5-YEAR STANDINGS

CHN's annual 5-year ranking answers a simple question is in a simple manner: Who has been the best team in the Pac-10 over the last five years?

100 total points is set up to be the equivalent of batting .300 in baseball.. anything above and beyond is all-world stuff. 50 points is mediocre and you only start to get bad below 40 points.

Pos.	Was	Team	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009	Wins	Gms.	Points

1	1	UCLA	11	14	15	16	13	69	90	77	Win %
			1st Round	Finals	Final 4	Final 4	2nd Round			39	Post Pts.
										116

2	3	Arizona	15	11	11	8	9	54	90	60	Win %
			Elite 8	2nd Round	1st Round	1st Round	Sweet 16			22	Post Pts.
										82

3	4	Washington	14	13	8	7	14	56	90	62	Win %
			Sweet 16	Sweet 16	X	X	2nd Round			16	Post Pts.
										78

4	2	Stanford	11	11	10	13	6	51	90	57	Win %
			1st Round	NIT	1st Round	Sweet 16	X			11	Post Pts.
										68

5	7	USC	5	8	11	11	9	44	90	49	Win %
			X	X	Sweet 16	1st Round	2nd Round			12	Post Pts.
										61

6	6	Wash St	7	4	13	11	8	43	90	48	Win %
			X	X	2nd Round	Sweet 16	NIT			11	Post Pts.
										59

7	8	California	6	12	6	6	11	41	90	46	Win %
			X	1st Round	X	NIT	1st Round			5	Post Pts.
										51

8	5	Oregon	6	7	11	9	2	35	90	39	Win %
			X	X	Elite 8	1st Round	X			10	Post Pts.
										49

9	9	Arizona St	7	5	2	9	11	34	90	38	Win %
			NIT	X	X	NIT	2nd Round			6	Post Pts.
										44

10	10	Oregon St	8	5	3	0	7	23	90	26	Win %
			NIT	X	X	X	X			1	Post Pts.
										27

-Ties are broken by favoring conference winning %

Pac-10 Thoughts

- Oregon tumbles after a disastrous 2 win season.

- Stanford is slowly fading down the list.

- UCLA dominates the league with 13 more wins then the closest team.

- 3rd place Washington actually has more league wins than Arizona, but has had less postseason success.

Postseason Points

NIT = 1

NCAA 1st Round = 2

NCAA 2nd Round = 4

Sweet = 6

Elite 8 = 8

Final Four = 10

Final = 11

Champs = 12

Other 5-Year Rankings

ACC

Big 12

Big East

Big Ten

SEC

.. All

Pac-10 Basketball: Fantasy Preview

Shawn Siegel — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 11:47:39 -0500

This is the 5th of six fantasy stats projections for BCS conference starters, one of my favorite series of the year, and a helpful guide when drafting for fantasy college basketball leagues. For an idea of whether I know what I'm talking about, check out last year's Pac-10 Stats Projection. As always, some teams were nailed better then others..

PAC-10

ARIZONA

G Nic Wise - 19, 4, 4
G Kyle Fogg - 11, 3, 3
F Jamelle Horne - 10,7, 1
F Solomon Hill - 7, 4, 1
C Kyryl Natyazkho - 9, 6, 1

Notes: The question here is where will scoring come from besides Wise? Fogg should be much improved this year, but the incoming bigs are no sure things.

ARIZONA STATE

G Derek Glasser - 10, 3, 5
G Ty Abbott - 11, 4, 2
G/F Trent Lockett - 8, 4, 1
F Rihards Kuksiks - 14, 5, 2
C Eric Boateng - 4, 4, 0

Notes: Kuksiks will need to step up his scoring output wiith Harden & Pendergraph no longer around. Lockett is a freshman, and is not guaranteed to start. Jamelle McMillan, the backup PG, could also start in a 3-guard lineup. Either way, McMillan should be good for 5 ppg and 3 apg.

CALIFORNIA

G Jerome Randle - 19, 4, 5
G Patrick Christopher - 17, 4, 3
F Theo Robertson - 12, 4, 3

F Jamal Boykin - 11, 7, 1

C Markhuri Sanders-Frison - 6, 7, 1

Notes: Last year, I severly underrated Jerome Randle's numbers and overrated the freshman. This year, the only unsettled position is up front, where Juco transfer Sanders-Frison will have competition from holdover reserve Harper Kamp. Backup guard Jorge Gutierrez will see 20 mpg as wel.

OREGON
G Malcolm Armstead - 6, 2, 4
G Tajuan Porter - 17, 3, 3
G LeKendric Longmire - 8, 4, 1
F Joevan Catron - 8, 8, 1
C Michael Dunigan - 12, 8, 1

Notes: Oregon hopes Armstead, a Juco newcomer, is the answer at PG. Dunigan averaged 8 & 5 last year in under 20 mpg and should be markedly better.

OREGON STATE

G Calvin Haynes - 14, 3, 2
G Seth Tarver - 7, 5, 2
G Lathen Wallace - 10, 3, 2
F Daniel Deane - 8, 6, 1
F Roland Schaftenaar - 13, 5, 3

Notes: Haynes was one of the bigger fantasy suprises in the Pac-10 last year, and its hard to expect much more then what he showed. Schaftenaar's production also jumped markedly last year, and he could score a bit more if his outside shooting % increases.

STANFORD

G Drew Shiller - 5, 2, 4
G Jeremy Green - 10, 3, 1
F Landry Fields - 16, 7, 2
F Andrew Zimmerman - 5, 4, 1
F Josh Owens - 11, 7, 2

Notes: Fields is the only fantasy performer of note here. Owens, a junior is your 2nd best bet. He shot a high % from the floor last year as well.

UCLA

G Jerime Anderson - 6, 2, 4

G Malcolm Lee - 11, 4, 2
F Tyler Honeycutt - 12, 4, 2
F Nikola Dragovic - 12, 5, 2
C Drew Gordon - 8, 7, 1

Notes: Dragovic is the only guy returning who played 20 mpg last year. He's a solid shooter, but will have space to shoot? Honeycutt is a big-time freshman, but last year's headline newcomer (Holiday) only averaged 9 ppg.

USC

G Donte Smith - 7, 2, 3
G Dwight Lewis - 16, 4, 3
F Marcus Johnson - 6, 4, 1
F Leonard Washington - 11, 6, 1
F Alex Stepheson - 10, 8, 1

Notes: Lewis is the go-to scorer now on a team lacking a true star. Stepheson averaged 4 ppg and 5 rpg at UNC two seasons ago and should come close to doubling that.

WASHINGTON

G Isaiah Thomas - 14, 3, 4
G Abdul Gaddy - 12, 4, 4
F Quincy Pondexter - 14, 7, 2
F Matthew Bryan-Amaning - 10, 7, 1
F Darnell Gant - 5, 5, 1

Notes: Thomas had a fine freshman year, but UW would be better served if he didn't shoot as much and others like Gaddy & Pondexter helped out. Bryant-Amaning is a potential breakout player.

WASHINGTON STATE

G Reggie Moore - 9, 3, 3
G Nikola Koprivica - 6, 3, 2
G Klay Thompson - 18, 5, 3
F Brock Motum - 8, 5, 1
F DeAngelo Castro - 8, 8, 1

Notes: Klay Thompson has future 20 ppg potential. Moore & Motum are newcomers, and both should see 25+ mpg from the get-go.

Projected Pac-10 Leaders

Top PPG
1) Jerome Randle (19)
2) Nic Wise (19)
3) Klay Thompson (18)

Top RPG
1) Castro/Catron/Dunigan/Stepheson (8)

Top APG
1) Derek Glasser (5)
2) Jerome Randle (5)

3) Multiple Players (4)

Fantasy Stats Preview Archive

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Big East Basketball: Fantasy Preview

Shawn Siegel — Fri, 30 Oct 2009 12:52:24 -0400

This is the 4th of six fantasy stats projections for BCS conference starters. One of my favorite series of the year, and a helpful guide when drafting for fantasy college basketball leagues. For an idea of whether I know what I'm talking about, check out last year's Big East Stats Projection. As always, some teams were nailed better then others.. UCONN, for example was almost shockingly spot on, while Rutgers was a bit off.

BIG EAST: PART ONE

CINCINNATI

G Deonta Vaughn - 14, 5, 4
G Cashmere Wright - 10, 3, 5

F Lance Stephenson - 14, 6, 2
F Rashad Bishop - 8, 5, 3
F Yancy Gates - 13, 7, 1

Notes: Wright returns after missing last season from injury and should be able to put up solid assist numbers with Vaughn & Stephenson alongside.

UCONN

G Kemba Walker - 13, 4, 4
G Jerome Dyson - 15, 4, 3
F Stanley Robinson - 14, 8, 2
F Gavin Edwards - 8, 6, 1
C Alex Oriakhi - 4, 5, 0

Notes: UCONN's 3 main scorers could all approach 15 ppg. Until Ater Majok arrives (and if he's healthy), Oriakhi or Charles Okwandu will get the start. Neither of them should be terribly productive.

DEPAUL

G Jeremiah Kelly - 7, 2, 4

G Will Walker - 14, 4, 3

F Eric Wallace - 8, 4, 1

F Tony Freeland - 9, 5, 1
F Mac Koshwal - 16, 10, 2

Notes: Koshwal averaged 12 & 10 last year, but underachieved in my opinion. He could/should be even better. Eric Wallace is a transfer from Ohio State who averaged 1.8 ppg in limited duty as a freshman.

GEORGETOWN

G Chris Wright - 12, 3, 5
G Jason Clark - 8, 4, 2
F Austin Freeman - 14, 5, 3
F Holl Thompson - 10, 5, 1
F Greg Monroe - 16, 9, 3

Notes: Monroe almost nailed my 12 & 8 prediction from last year, and should take another step forward this year. Thompson is a freshman who will contribute immediately.

LOUISVILLE

G Peyton Siva - 8, 2, 4

G Edgar Sosa - 12, 2, 4
G Jerry Smith - 11, 3, 2
F Terrence Jennings - 11, 8, 1
C Samardo Samuels - 16, 8, 2

Notes: Jennings only averaged 12 mpg last year, but should see his minutes and production soar. Sosa only averaged 7 ppg last year but should get many more chances to score.

MARQUETTE

G Maurice Acker - 5, 2, 3
G Dwight Buycks - 12, 3, 3
G/F Jerome Maymon - 7, 6, 1
F Jimmy Butler - 10, 5, 1
F Lazar Hayward - 17, 10, 1

Notes: Buycks is a Juco transfer who should be the 2nd option behind returning forward Lazar Hayward. Jimmy Butler is an underrated performer who will hold his own in the starting five.

NOTRE DAME

G Tory Jackson - 13, 5, 7
G Jonathan Peoples - 7, 4, 2
G Ben Hansbrough - 10, 5, 4
F Tyrone Nash - 8, 7, 1
C Luke Harangody - 24, 11, 3

Notes: Ben Hansbrough comes over from Mississppi State and he can pass the ball well and rebound. Notre Dame's lack of depth is troubling and none of the reserves should be fantasy contributors.

PITTSBURGH

G Ashton Gibbs - 10, 2, 4
G Jermaine Dixon - 12, 4, 3

G Brad Wanamaker - 9, 5, 2
F Gilbert Brown - 10, 5, 2
F Dante Taylor - 12, 6, 1

Notes: Familiar names are gone, but Pitt has some talent. Taylor should be one of the league's top freshmen.

..Continue to Part Two (Providence, Rutgers, Seton Hall, USF, St. John's Syracuse, Villanova, West Virginia)

Big East Basketball: Fantasy Preview Part 2

Shawn Siegel — Fri, 30 Oct 2009 12:50:42 -0400

..Continued From Big East Fantasy Preview: Part One

BIG EAST: PART TWO

PROVIDENCE

G Sharaud Curry - 14, 3, 4
G Marshon Brooks - 14, 5, 2
G Brian McKenzie - 8, 5, 2
F Jamine Peterson - 9, 5, 1
F Bilal Dixon - 6, 6, 1

Notes: Providence turns over most of its roster, but Curry, Brooks, and McKenzie are sure things in the backcourt. Russ Parmenter should be the first forward off the bench.

RUTGERS

G James Beatty - 7, 3, 5
G Mike Rosario - 16, 5, 3

F Jonathan Mitchell - 11, 4, 2
F Greg Echenique - 12, 10, 1
C Hamady Ndiaye - 8, 7, 0

Notes: Beatty is a talented Juco guard who will see big minutes at PG. Mitchell averaged 3.1 ppg as a freshman at Florida, but should do some damage in Rutgers offense. Mike Coburn will see 20 mpg off the bench at guard, but is not a major scoring threat.

SETON HALL

G Eugene Harvey - 11, 4, 6
G Keon Lawrence - 13, 3, 3
G Jeremy Hazell - 19, 4, 2
F Robert Mitchell - 15, 7, 2

C John Garcia - 9, 8, 1

Notes: Hazell averaged 22 ppg last year, but I expect his numbers to drop as Seton Hall adds legit weapons in Lawrence and Herb Pope. Pope has the talent to start as well (averaging 11 & 7 in his prior stop) and it will be interesting to see how Seton Hall utilizes its various weapons.

SOUTH FLORIDA

G Chris Howard - 9, 5, 5
G Dominique Jones - 18, 5, 4
G Jordan Dumars - 8, 4, 1
F Augustus Gilchrist - 13, 6, 1
F Jarrid Famous - 8, 7, 1

Notes: PG Anthony Crater, a transfer from Ohio State, isn't eligible the 1st semester, but could be a starter down the line. Alex Rivas is one of the league's better backup bigs and should contribute 5 & 6 per game.

ST. JOHN'S

G Malik Boothe - 7, 4, 4
G Paris Horne - 12, 4, 3

F DJ Kennedy - 14, 8, 3
F Anthony Mason Jr - 14, 5, 2
F Sean Evans - 11, 8, 1

Notes: The Red Storm actually are surprisingly deep. Reserve forward Justin Burrell should put up a line of 8 & 5, while reserve guards Quincy Roberts and Dwight Hardy can score around 7-8 ppg.

SYRACUSE

G Brandon Triche - 8, 3, 6
G Andy Rautins - 13, 4, 4
F Wesley Johnson - 13, 7, 2
F Rick Jacson - 11, 7, 1
F Arinze Onuaku - 12, 9, 1

Notes: The PG position is a question now that Jonny Flynn Departs. Brandon Triche is a good distributor who won't be forced to do too much on the scoring end. Johnson, a transfer from Iowa St, could end up leading the team in scoring.

VILLANOVA

G Scottie Reynolds - 14, 4, 3

G Corey Fisher - 13, 3, 3
G Corey Stokes - 13, 5, 2

F Taylor King - 11, 4, 1
F Antonio Pena - 9, 7, 1

Notes: Villanova is obviously weakest in the froncourt, where only Pena returns. King, a tranfer from Duke, is one of the biggest X-factors in the league. He's known for lighting it up at times, but can be spotty. Dominic Cheek, a highly touted freshman, will see major minutes off the bench.

WEST VIRGINIA

G Darryl Bryant - 12, 2, 4
G Casey Mitchell - 12, 4, 3
F Devin Ebanks - 14, 9, 3
F Wellington Smith - 7, 5, 1
F De'Sean Butler - 19, 8, 2

Notes: Mitchell was the Juco player of the year, and should provide scoring punch on the wing. Besides the players listed, Joe Mazzulla, John Flowers, and Kevin Jones will also see 15-20 mpg. Jones, a forward, will put up some of the best numbers of any reserve in the league.

Projected Big East Leaders

Top PPG
1) Luke Harangody (24)
2) Jeremy Hazell (19)
3) De'Sean Butler (19)

Top RPG
1) Luke Harangody (11)
2t) Echenique/Hayward/Koshwal (10)

Top APG
1) Tory Jackson (7)
2t) Harvey/Triche (6)

..Return to Big East Fantasy Preview: Part One

Fantasy Stats Preview Archive

- ACC

- Big 12

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Big Ten Basketball: Fantasy Preview

Shawn Siegel — Wed, 28 Oct 2009 13:02:57 -0400

This is the 3rd of six fantasy stats projections for BCS conference starters. One of my favorite series of the year, and a helpful guide when drafting for fantasy college basketball leagues. For an idea of whether I know what I'm talking about, check out last year's Big Ten Stats Projection. As always, some teams were nailed better then others.. Wisconsin was solid, Purdue rather weak.. and I strongly overrated BJ Mullens.

BIG TEN

ILLINOIS

G Demetri McCamey - 14, 4, 5
G Alex Legion - 8, 2, 2

G DJ Richardson - 9, 3, 3
F Mike Davis - 12, 10, 2
F Mike Tisdale - 12, 6, 1

Notes: Richardson is a freshman. Along with Brandon Paul, the two could eat up minutes from Alex Legion who was a major bust last year. Paul is a big-time scoter who should average 8-12 ppg even if he comes off the bench.

INDIANA

G Jeremiah Rivers - 5, 3, 3
G Devan Dumes - 14, 4, 2
G Verdell Jones - 11, 4, 3
F Derek Elston - 9, 5, 1

C Tom Pritchard - 10, 7, 1

Notes: Jones had the best numbers out of Indiana's returning players, but he could lose minutes to freshman Maurice Cheek. Matt Roth is a streaky shooting guard off the bench capable of putting up points.

IOWA
G Cully Payne - 5, 3, 3
G Matt Gatens - 14, 4, 3
G Anthony Tucker - 13, 3, 2
F Aaron Fuller - 7, 5, 1
F Jarryd Cole - 7, 7, 0

Notes: Gatens & Tucker are capable scorers, but don't expect any exiciting stat-stuffing numbers from anyone here.

MICHIGAN

G Manny Harris - 20, 6, 5
G Laval Lucas-Perry - 10, 3, 2

G Stu Douglass - 8, 2, 3
F DeShawn Sims - 17, 9, 1
C Zack Gibson - 6, 5, 1

Notes: Zack Novak saw starter minutes last year, and should contribute between 8 and 10 ppg. If Harris gets his fg% up from 41.5 to 45 or above, he can score 20 ppg easy.

MICHIGAN STATE

G Kalin Lucas - 14, 4, 7
G Durrell Summers - 12, 4, 2
F Raymar Morgan - 14, 7, 2
F Delvon Roe - 9, 8, 1
F Draymond Green - 6, 6, 1

Notes: With a healthy Morgan and an improving surrounding cast of scorers, don't expect a further jump in Lucas' production, though his assists could jump. Chris Allen will also approach double-digit scoring off the bench.

MINNESOTA

G Al Nolen - 6, 4, 5
G Lawrence Westbrook - 12, 3, 2
F Royce White - 10, 5, 2
F Damian Johnson - 12, 6, 2
C Ralph Sampson - 10, 7, 1

Notes: White, a freshman, could crack the starting rotation. But I also expected big things out of Devan Bostick last year and he never really panned out. He's still an option off the bench, as is Blake Hoffarber who has 10 ppg potential if given the minutes.

NORTHWESTERN

G Michael Thompson - 14, 3, 4
G Jeremy Nash - 8, 3, 2
F John Shurna - 10, 5, 2
F Kevin Coble - 16, 6, 3
C Kyle Rowley - 7, 3, 1

Notes: Thompson's scoring output was only 9.9 ppg, but I expect a bounce back season on the scoring end. Shurna has the potential to score 15 ppg by the time he's a senior.

OHIO STATE
G William Buford - 13, 4, 2

G Jon Diebler - 13, 4, 4
G Evan Turner - 18, 7, 6
F David Lighty - 10, 7, 2
C Dallas Lauderdale - 6, 5, 1

Notes: Evans is a legit stud, and could see a boost in apg if he plays more point. PJ Hill & Jeremie Simmons see decent minutes off the bench, but neither offers much in terms of fantasy.

PENN STATE

G Talor Battle - 18, 5, 6
G Chris Babb - 9, 2, 1
F Jeff Brooks - 6, 5, 1
F David Jackson - 7, 5 1
F Andrew Jones - 10, 8, 1

Notes: Battle contributes solidly in the 3 main categories. Jones averaged 6 & 5 last year but should see the biggest bump. Freshman Tim Frazier is good enough to see 15-20 mpg as the 1st guard off the bench.

PURDUE

G Chris Kramer - 7, 3, 3
G Lewis Jackson - 8, 3, 5
G E'Twaun Moore - 16, 5, 4
F Robbie Hummel - 12, 9, 2
6 JaJuan Johnson - 15, 7, 1

Notes: Last year, I underrated Johnson's output and overrated Moore's. Keaton Grant will also see big-time minutes, and should score 7-8 ppg.

WISCONSIN

G Trevon Hughes - 15, 4, 4
G Jason Bohanon - 13, 3, 3
G/F Tim Jarmusz - 6, 5, 1
F Jon Leuer - 12, 5, 1
F Keaton Nankivil - 8, 5, 1

Notes: Wisconsin usually features a well-balanced attack, so don't expect a 20 ppg scorer. Wisconsin welcomes 5 freshmen, and big man Jared Berggren probably has the best chance to contribute immediately.

Projected Big Ten Leaders

Top PPG
1) Manny Harris (20)
2) Talor Battle (18)
3) Evan Turner (18)

Top RPG
1) Mike Davis (10)
2) DeShawn Sims (9)

3) Robbie Hummel (9)

Top APG
1) Kalin Lucas (7)
2) Talor Battle (6)

3) Harris/Jackson/McCamey/Nolen (5)

Fantasy Stats Preview Archive

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SEC Basketball: High-Low Preview

Shawn Siegel — Fri, 09 Oct 2009 12:58:42 -0400

Everybody loves a prediction. People that claim to hate sports predictions are just jealous that no one cares what they have to say or that their predictions are never right. But sometimes when making predictions, certain teams or groups of teams are truly to close to call. On CHN or in preview mags, we do our best to slot teams into specific spots, but sometimes you just want to say honestly, teams A, B, and C are virtually the same and luck will determine how they finish. You can't say that in a Top 144 ranking, but I'm saying it here in a series of High-Low predictions. Instead of plugging teams into specific spots, I'll give a range for each team's finish and a few reasons why.

(How about the high production values with that picture?..)

SEC HIGH-LOW

The SEC should return to prominence this year due to an influx of talent at UK along with big-time teams like Tennessee & Mississippi State returning entire squads.

* my projected finish in yellow

EAST

KENTUCKY
1	2	3	4	5	6
As great as the freshmen will be, it was the return of Patrick Patterson that really solidified UK's grasp on the SEC. With that said, Tennessee is no joke and it may take time for the Cats to come together.

TENNESSEE
1	2	3	4	5	6
The Vols return everybody from a team that won 21 games last year, but underachieved. There's little reason to expect less than at least the program's 3rd Sweet Sixteen in the last 4 years.

SOUTH CAROLINA
1	2	3	4	5	6
Potential SEC POY Devan Downey returns to lead a team heavy on experience. South Carolina should finally get over the NIT hump this year and make the Big Dance.

VANDERBILT
1	2	3	4	5	6
With a proven commodity in AJ Ogilvy and two emerging sophomores in Beal & Taylor, Vandy has all the pieces to return to the NCAA's after a year break. Some mags see Vandy as a Sweet 16/Elite 8 type team, though I'm not going that far.

FLORIDA
1	2	3	4	5	6
5 out of 6 looks bad, but I actually like this group of Gators, who should win 20+ games even without Calathes. Boynton should score 15+ from the get-go and last year's young forwards will only get better. Could easily top both USC & Vandy.

GEORGIA
1	2	3	4	5	6
In an otherwise loaded SEC East, Georgia simply has inferior talent. The lone exception is Howard Thompkins, capable of putting up 18 & 10 type numbers.

WEST

MISSISSIPPI STATE
1	2	3	4	5	6
Rick Stansbury's teams have rarely met expectations (often unfair ones I should note). However, if this year's squad doesn't win 25+ games and get past the 2nd round, it would have to be considered a disappointment once again.

OLE MISS
1	2	3	4	5	6
While David Huertas (18 ppg) graduates, the key is the healthy return of Chris Warren. If one of the freshmen bigs step up and contribute on the boards & on D, Ole Miss has the pieces to finally get back to the Tourney.

ARKANSAS
1	2	3	4	5	6
Expect this year's team to be somewhat between the one that shocked the world early on and then collapsed late. Something around 8-8 or 7-9 would put the Hogs in the NIT.

ALABAMA
1	2	3	4	5	6
Alabama hasn't finished .500 or better in the SEC since 2006. That trend should continue this year, although the West is wide enough open where Bama could surprise.

AUBURN
1	2	3	4	5	6
Auburn has a lot of intriguing pieces, I just don't see how it all fits together into a winning puzzle. 5 league wins would be a good +/- number.

LSU
1	2	3	4	5	6
Only two player on the roster averaged 10+ mpg last year, at least those two (Spencer & Mitchell) are solid. I actually think the Tigers will be more competitive then people expect and could easily push Auburn for 5th.

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