Bracketology: Selection Sunday Projection

Shawn Siegel — Sun, 17 Mar 2013 13:16:54 -0700

My final Bracketology projection, 4:00 PM on Selection Sunday.

Why Pay Attention to What I Have to Say: Collegehoops.net's projections have consistently proven to be the best in the business. Over the last 5 years, Shawn Siegel is one of the Top 3 Bracketologists according to the Bracket Project. This ranking includes the likes of Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish, Jerry Palm, and Andy Glockner.. none of whom come close.

Notes:

Arrows indicate how many seeds a team has moved up or down since the previous update. Conference Champ.

ONE

Louisville 3

Indiana 8

Kansas 5

Gonzaga 7

TWO

Miami 4

Duke 1

New Mexico 2

Georgetown 10

THREE

Ohio St 11

Michigan St 9

Florida 6

Marquette 12

FOUR

Michigan 19

Syracuse 14

Kansas St 20

Saint Louis 20

FIVE

UCLA 26

Arizona 15

Wisconsin 28

Butler 23

SIX

Oklahoma St 27

Pittsburgh 44

North Carolina 16

Memphis 13

SEVEN

VCU 24

Notre Dame 36

Creight on 25

UNLV 21

EIGHT

North Carolina St 33

Oregon 47

Illinois 40

Colorado St 24

NINE

Missouri 35

San Diego St 32

Iowa St 45

Oklahoma 39

TEN

Ole Miss 50

Temple 42

Villanova 52

Cincinnati 49

ELEVEN

Wichita St 37

Minnesota 34

Belmont 17

Boise St 41

TWELVE

Saint Mary's 30

Akron 43

Colorado 38 / Tennessee 59

La Salle 46 / California 53

THIRTEEN + 2

Bucknell 51

South Dakota St 63

New Mexico St 55

Valparaiso 58

FOURTEEN

Davidson 61

Montana 83

Florida Gulf Coast 93

Harvard 94

FIFTEEN

Northwestern St 96

Iona 97

Pacific 105

Western Kentucky 150

SIXTEEN + 2

Albany 128

Long Island 175

James Madison 182 / Liberty 288

Southern 181 / North Carolina A&T 211

Last In: California, Tennessee, La Salle, Colorado

First Out: Maryland 66, Middle Tennessee 29, Kentucky 56, Southern Miss 31

Bracketology: Saturday Night NCAA Tournament Projection

Shawn Siegel — Sat, 16 Mar 2013 20:08:23 -0700

The latest Bracketology projection as of 11:00 PM, March 16th. One more day until Selection Sunday.

Why Pay Attention to What I Have to Say: Collegehoops.net's projections have consistently proven to be the best in the business. Over the last 5 years, Shawn Siegel is one of the Top 5 Bracketologists according to the Bracket Project. This ranking includes the likes of Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish, Jerry Palm, and Andy Glockner.. none of whom come close.

As always, the field below is a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand today, not what they should do. This is done by taking into account standings, polls, computer rankings, and the committee's historical biases. Check out the follow up Bubble Watch for updates about teams on the NCAA Tournament Bubble, and NITology for a ranking of the best of the rest.

Notes:

Arrows indicate how many seeds a team has moved up or down since the previous update. Conference Champ.

ONE

Gonzaga 7

Louisville 3

Duke 1

Kansas 5

TWO

Indiana 10

New Mexico 2

Georgetown 9

Miami 4

THREE

Ohio St 11

Michigan St 8

Florida 6

Marquette 13

FOUR

Michigan 18

Syracuse 12

Kansas St 16

Oklahoma St 27

FIVE

UCLA 23

Saint Louis 22

Arizona 15

Wisconsin 28

SIX

Memphis 14

Pittsburgh 42

Creighton 26

North Carolina 17

SEVEN

Butler 21

VCU 25

Notre Dame 36

Colorado St 19

EIGHT

UNLV 24

Missouri 35

North Carolina St 30

Illinois 40

NINE

Oregon 49

San Diego St 32

Saint Mary's 33

Iowa St 44

TEN

Temple 41

Oklahoma 40

Villanova 52

Cincinnati 48

ELEVEN

Wichita St 37

Minnesota 34

Belmont 20

Ole Miss 50

TWELVE

Boise St 43

Akron 46

Colorado 38 / Tennessee 59

La Salle 45 / UCONN 47 California 53

THIRTEEN + 2

Bucknell 51

South Dakota St 63

New Mexico St 57

Valparaiso 58

FOURTEEN

Davidson 61

Montana 83

Florida Gulf Coast 93

Harvard 94

FIFTEEN

Northwestern St 96

Iona 97

Pacific 105

Western Kentucky 150

SIXTEEN + 2

Albany 128

Long Island 175

James Madison 182 / Liberty 288

Southern 181 / North Carolina A&T 211

Last In: California, Tennessee, La Salle, Colorado

First Out: Maryland 66, Middle Tennessee 31, Kentucky 56, Southern Miss 29

Non-BCS Top 25: Creighton, Colorado St Rise

Shawn Siegel — Sun, 10 Mar 2013 19:08:29 -0700

The Non-BCS Top 25 is a CollegeHoops.net original, copied by multiple major outlets. As a weekly companion to our popular CHN Top 50 ranking, it takes an in-depth look into the underrated universe of teams outside of the big six. The original Non-BCS ranking.

Non-BCS Top 25: March 10th

by Shawn Siegel: Collegehoops.net Editor

	Team	Record	Last
1	Gonzaga	30-2	1
2	New Mexico	26-5*	2
3	Colorado St	24-7	9
4	VCU	24-7*	3
5	Creighton	27-7	10
6	Saint Louis	24-6*	4
7	Memphis	27-4	6
8	Butler	24-7	8
9	UNLV	23-8*	7
10	St. Mary's	27-5	12
11	Temple	23-8	14
12	Wichita St	26-8*	11
13	Belmont	26-6	15
14	MTSU	28-5*	5
15	San Diego St	21-9*	13
16	La Salle	21-8*	17
17	Bucknell	27-5	19

Not in CHN Top 50 Ranking

	Team	Record	Last
18	Akron	24-6*	18
19	Boise St	21-9*	20
20	Louisiana Tech	26-5**	16
21	Stephen F Austin	26-3	21
22	Davidson	25-7	23
23	Valparaiso	25-7	24
24	Southern Miss	23-8*	22
25	Ohio	23-8	25

last = last week's ranking

* = Losses this week

Next 5: Denver (21-8), UMASS (19-10*), New Mexico St (20-10), Weber St (24-5), Stony Brook (24-7*),

Further 5: Xavier (17-13*), Air Force (17-12*), North Dakota St (22-8), BYU (21-11*), Florida Gulf Coast (24-10)

Out of Top 25: None

Agree/Disagree? Post your thoughts below or join us @collegehoopsnet

Check out last week's Non-BCS Top 25 Ranking

College Basketball Top 50: Indiana Ends Regular Season #1

Shawn Siegel — Sun, 10 Mar 2013 17:25:13 -0700

Collegehoops.net's Top 50 Power Ranking is your weekly dive into the national college basketball scene. The CHN Top 50 is brought to you before all the other polls late Sunday night. Arrows represent notable moves. (Also: Check out the weekly Non-BCS Top 25 Ranking.)

Top 50 Ranking: March 10th

by Shawn Siegel: Collegehoops.net Editor

	Team	Record	Last
1	Indiana	26-5*	1
2	Gonzaga	30-2	2
3	Duke	27-4	3
4	Louisville	26-5	6
5	Michigan State	24-7	11
6	Miami	24-6*	4
7	Michigan	25-6*	5
8	Kansas	26-5*	7
9	Florida	24-6*	8
10	New Mexico	26-5*	9
11	Georgetown	24-5*	10
12	Ohio State	23-7	13
13	Marquette	23-7	15
14	Kansas St	25-6*	12
15	Oklahoma St	23-7*	14
16	Arizona	24-6	16
17	Pittsburgh	24-7	21
18	Syracuse	23-8*	17
19	Colorado St	24-7	29
20	VCU	24-7*	18
21	Creighton	27-7	32
22	Saint Louis	24-6*	23
23	Memphis	27-4	26
24	Butler	24-7	28
25	Notre Dame	23-8*	19
26	Wisconsin	21-10*	20
27	Missouri	22-9*	22
28	UNLV	23-8*	27
29	North Carolina	22-9*	30
30	St. Mary's	27-5	36
31	NC State	22-9*	31
32	Temple	23-8	40
33	Wichita St	26-8*	34
34	Belmont	26-6	43
35	UCLA	23-8*	35
36	Middle Tennessee	28-5*	24
37	Minnesota	20-11**	25
38	San Diego St	21-9*	38
39	UCONN	20-10*	41
40	Kentucky	21-10*	42
41	Ole Miss	23-8	47
42	Cincinnati	21-10*	39
43	Oregon	23-8**	33
44	Illinois	21-11**	37
45	La Salle	21-8*	45
46	Bucknell	27-5	49
47	Iowa St	21-10	NA(+5)
48	Villanova	19-12	NA
49	Virginia	21-10*	50
50	California	20-10*	46

* = losses this week

last = last week's ranking

Next Five: Akron (24-6*), Boise St (21-9*), Iowa (20-11), Colorado (20-10*), Oklahoma (20-10*)

Top 50 Drop Outs (that haven't returned)

			Week
	Louisiana Tech		17
	Akron		17
	Maryland		16
	Baylor		15
	Boise St		14
	BYU		13
	Wyoming		13
	Iowa		11
	Colorado		10
	Murray St		9
	Virginia Tech		7
	Xavier		6
	Alabama		6
	St. Joseph's		5
	Ohio		5
	Santa Clara		3
	Tennessee		3
	Northwestern		3
	Florida State		3
	Texas		2
	Northern Iowa		2
	South Alabama		2

week = week dropped out of Top 50

During the season, don't forget to check out the CHN Top 50 Power Ranking every Sunday night!

For more depth, check out the weekly the Non-BCS Top 25 ranking.

You can also revisit the Top 50 archive and view this week's AP Top 25.

Non-BCS Top 25: Valpo Replaces BYU

Shawn Siegel — Sun, 03 Mar 2013 16:22:57 -0800

Non-BCS Top 25: March 3rd

by Shawn Siegel: Collegehoops.net Editor

	Team	Record	Last
1	Gonzaga	29-2	1
2	New Mexico	25-4	2
3	VCU	23-6	5
4	Saint Louis	23-5	11
5	MTSU	27-4	8
6	Memphis	25-4*	3
7	UNLV	22-7	9
8	Butler	22-7*	6
9	Colorado St	22-7*	7
10	Creighton	24-7	13
11	Wichita St	24-7**	4
12	St. Mary's	26-5	12
13	San Diego St	20-8*	10
14	Temple	21-8	15
15	Belmont	24-6	14
16	Louisiana Tech	26-3	19
17	La Salle	20-7	18
18	Akron	23-5*	16
19	Bucknell	25-5	17

Not in CHN Top 50 Ranking

	Team	Record	Last
20	Boise St	20-8	20
21	Stephen F Austin	24-3	21
22	Southern Miss	22-7	23
23	Davidson	23-7	24
24	Valparaiso	24-7	NA
25	Ohio	21-8*	25

last = last week's ranking

* = Losses this week

Next 5: Stony Brook (23-6), Denver (19-8), BYU (21-10*), UMASS (18-9), Weber St (22-5)

Further 5: Xavier (16-12*), Air Force (16-11*), North Dakota St (22-4), Evansville (18-13), Eastern Kentucky (23-8)

Out of Top 25: BYU

Agree/Disagree? Post your thoughts below or join us @collegehoopsnet

Check out last week's Non-BCS Top 25 Ranking

College Basketball Top 50: Maryland and Iowa St Drop Out

Shawn Siegel — Sun, 03 Mar 2013 16:10:38 -0800

Top 50 Ranking: March 3rd

by Shawn Siegel: Collegehoops.net Editor

	Team	Record	Last
1	Indiana	25-4*	1
2	Gonzaga	29-2	2
3	Duke	25-4*	3
4	Miami	23-5*	6
5	Michigan	24-5*	5
6	Louisville	24-5	7
7	Kansas	25-4	8
8	Florida	23-5*	4
9	New Mexico	25-4	11
10	Georgetown	23-4	12
11	Michigan State	22-7*	10
12	Kansas St	24-5	13
13	Ohio State	21-7	15
14	Oklahoma St	22-6	16
15	Marquette	21-7	17
16	Arizona	23-6**	9
17	Syracuse	22-7**	9
18	VCU	23-6	23
19	Notre Dame	22-7*	18
20	Wisconsin	20-9*	19
21	Pittsburgh	23-7	22
22	Missouri	21-8	26
23	Saint Louis	23-5	31
24	Middle Tennessee	27-4	27
25	Minnesota	20-9	30
26	Memphis	25-4*	20
27	UNLV	22-7	28
28	Butler	22-7*	24
29	Colorado St	22-7*	25
30	North Carolina	21-8	35
31	NC State	20-8	33
32	Creighton	24-7	37
33	Oregon	23-6	36
34	Wichita St	24-7**	21
35	UCLA	22-7	39
36	St. Mary's	26-5	34
37	Illinois	21-9	38
38	San Diego St	20-8*	29
39	Cincinnati	20-9	42
40	Temple	21-8	43
41	UCONN	19-9**	32
42	Kentucky	20-9*	40
43	Belmont	24-6	41
44	Louisiana Tech	26-3	NA (52)
45	La Salle	20-7	50
46	California	20-9	NA
47	Ole Miss	21-8*	46
48	Akron	23-5*	47
49	Bucknell	25-5	49
50	Virginia	20-9*	48

* = losses this week

last = last week's ranking

Next Five: Boise St (20-8),Colorado (19-9*), Oklahoma (19-9*), Iowa St (19-10**), Maryland (20-9*)

Top 50 Drop Outs (that haven't returned)

			Week
	Maryland		16
	Iowa St		16
	Baylor		15
	Boise St		14
	BYU		13
	Wyoming		13
	Iowa		11
	Colorado		10
	Murray St		9
	Virginia Tech		7
	Xavier		6
	Alabama		6
	St. Joseph's		5
	Ohio		5
	California		4
	Santa Clara		3
	Tennessee		3
	Northwestern		3
	Florida State		3
	Texas		2
	Northern Iowa		2
	South Alabama		2

week = week dropped out of Top 50

During the season, don't forget to check out the CHN Top 50 Power Ranking every Sunday night!

For more depth, check out the weekly the Non-BCS Top 25 ranking.

You can also revisit the Top 50 archive and view this week's AP Top 25.

Non-BCS Top 25: Davidson In, Wyoming Out

Shawn Siegel — Sun, 24 Feb 2013 21:05:29 -0800

Non-BCS Top 25: February 18th

by Shawn Siegel: Collegehoops.net Editor

	Team	Record	Last
1	Gonzaga	27-2	1
2	New Mexico	23-4	2
3	Memphis	24-3	7
4	Wichita St	24-5	6
5	VCU	22-6*	3
6	Butler	22-6*	4
7	Colorado St	21-6**	5
8	MTSU	25-4	10
9	UNLV	21-7	11
10	San Diego St	20-7	8
11	Saint Louis	21-5	12
12	St. Mary's	24-5	13
13	Creighton	22-7*	9
14	Belmont	22-6	14
15	Temple	19-8	15
16	Akron	22-4	18
17	Bucknell	23-5	17
18	La Salle	19-7*	16

Not in CHN Top 50 Ranking

	Team	Record	Last
19	Louisiana Tech	24-3	19
20	Boise St	18-8	20
21	Stephen F Austin	23-3	24
22	BYU	20-9*	22
23	Southern Miss	21-7*	23
24	Davidson	21-7	NA
25	Ohio	20-7*	25

last = last week's ranking

* = Losses this week

Next 5: Stony Brook (21-6), Valparaiso (22-7), Charlotte (18-8*), Wyoming (18-9**), Denver (18-8)

Further 5: Xavier (15-11*), Weber St (20-5), Air Force (15-10*), Northern Iowa (17-12), Indiana St (17-11*),

Out of Top 25: Wyoming

Agree/Disagree? Post your thoughts below or join us @collegehoopsnet

Check out last week's Non-BCS Top 25 Ranking

College Basketball Top 50: #2 Gonzaga Hits All-Time High

Shawn Siegel — Sun, 24 Feb 2013 20:52:42 -0800

Top 50 Ranking: February 24th

by Shawn Siegel: Collegehoops.net Editor

	Team	Record	Last
1	Indiana	24-3	1
2	Gonzaga	27-2	3
3	Duke	24-3	5
4	Florida	22-4*	2
5	Michigan	23-4	6
6	Miami	22-4*	4
7	Louisville	22-5	8
8	Kansas	23-4	10
9	Arizona	23-4	11
10	Michigan State	22-6**	7
11	New Mexico	23-4	12
12	Georgetown	21-4	15
13	Kansas St	22-5	13
14	Syracuse	22-5*	9
15	Ohio State	20-7	16
16	Oklahoma St	20-6*	14
17	Marquette	19-7*	20
18	Notre Dame	22-6	23
19	Wisconsin	19-8	26
20	Memphis	24-3	28
21	Wichita St	24-5	24
22	Pittsburgh	21-7*	22
23	VCU	22-6*	17
24	Butler	22-6*	18
25	Colorado St	21-6**	19
26	Missouri	19-8*	25
27	Middle Tennessee	25-4	32
28	UNLV	21-7	34
29	San Diego St	20-7	29
30	Minnesota	18-9*	21
31	Saint Louis	21-5	38
32	UCONN	19-7	36
33	NC State	19-8*	31
34	St. Mary's	24-5	41
35	North Carolina	19-8	43
36	Oregon	22-6*	27
37	Creighton	22-7*	30
38	Illinois	20-9*	33
39	UCLA	20-7	39
40	Kentucky	19-8	44
41	Belmont	22-6	43
42	Cincinnati	19-9**	35
43	Temple	19-8	46
44	Maryland	19-8*	42
45	Iowa St	19-8	49
46	Ole Miss	20-7*	37
47	Akron	22-4	NA (52)
48	Virginia	19-8*	48
49	Bucknell	23-5	50
50	La Salle	19-7*	47

* = losses this week

last = last week's ranking

Next Five: Colorado (18-8), Louisiana Tech (24-3), Boise St (18-8), Oklahoma (18-8), Villanova (18-10)

Top 50 Drop Outs (that haven't returned)

			Week
	Baylor		15
	Boise St		14
	BYU		13
	Wyoming		13
	Iowa		11
	Colorado		10
	Murray St		9
	Virginia Tech		7
	Xavier		6
	Alabama		6
	St. Joseph's		5
	Ohio		5
	California		4
	Santa Clara		3
	Tennessee		3
	Northwestern		3
	Florida State		3
	Texas		2
	Northern Iowa		2
	South Alabama		2

week = week dropped out of Top 50

During the season, don't forget to check out the CHN Top 50 Power Ranking every Sunday night!

For more depth, check out the weekly the Non-BCS Top 25 ranking.

You can also revisit the Top 50 archive and view this week's AP Top 25.