Shawn Siegel's Blog
- A lot of talk the first two days about the lack of upsets and the lack of excitement.. but I think today's 3 overtime games more than made up for it.
- Mike Conley's 11 points might have owned overtime, but Ron Lewis owned the game. When things broke down for Ohio State, he pretty much got them to overtime by himself.
- Good job by Bill Self clearing his bench in the Jayhawks easy 107-67 win over Niagara. 14 guys got in the game including little used Brennan Brechard (22 minutes in his career) who even got 4 minutes of PT. Nothing like the memory of getting a few minutes run in the Dance.
- Similar bench-clearing for Florida who ended up beating Jackson State by 43. This game was actually neck and neck for about 15 minutes. Jackson State led 26-25 with 6 minutes to go in the first half. It was 87-43 Florida the rest of the way..
Siegel Thoughts: Day One Review
- All the talk all season about how Greg Paulus was the problem for Duke.. and suddenly he's the only guy keeping him in the game. What was odd about his 25 point effort is how many times he got into the lane.. and if he just had that killer scorers instinct down low, he probably could have had a half dozen more.
- VCU's Eric Maynor (22 points) picked up where he left off in the CAA Finals when he had 20, 7, and 4 assists.
Countdown to Selection Sunday can legitimately be made in hours at this point. Less than a week to the start of the tournament. Less than a few months before we start previewing the 2007-08 season..
If I've said it once, I've said it a thousand times: How does Tommy Amaker still have his job? Michigan's loss to Ohio State today means they'll be back in the NIT once again. Maybe they should just call it the Michigan Invitational Tournament at this point..
In the last Dribble, I ranked all 66 2nd tier conferences. Today I've put together a 73-team ranking of BCS schools. I also did this late in January, and those rankings are in parentheses..
BCS Power Ranking, 1 to 73
1. Ohio State 15-1 27-3 (6)
2. UCLA 15-3 26-4 (1)
3. North Carolina 11-5 25-6 (3)
4. Florida 13-3 26-5 (2)
5. Kansas 14-2 27-4 (9)
6. Wisconsin 13-3 27-4 (4)
7. Texas A&M 13-3 25-5 (7)
8. Georgetown 13-3 23-6 (24)
9. Pittsburgh 12-4 25-6 (5)
10. Washington State 13-5 24-6 (13)
11. Oregon 11-7 23-7 (8)
12. Notre Dame 11-5 23-6 (16)
13. Marquette 10-6 23-8 (12)
Its obviously been a while since the last Daily Dribble. I didn't mean to pull a JetBlue and leave you all hanging for a few days.. but the site was down last week and Ive been spending my time getting things running again.
There were too many games to count on Saturday.. so how is it possible to review them all? By writing the quickest, most straight-forward thoughts on every player and game possible..
Before overtime, Marist-Siena was one of the best games of the year. Hopefully these two will meet in the MAAC finals.
I'm convinced that Drexel would have the chance to go farther than any other CAA team if they made the tournament.
VT's Zabian Dowdell dserves serious ACC Player of the Year consideration.
Who knew Andy Rautins (15 ppg in last 4 games) would be Syracuse's most consistently solid player in their 4-game winning streak?
I love sports stats. Its as simple as that.. baseball has the best stats obviously, but college basketball has some underrated numbers. And I'm not talking about the RPI, I'm talking about Ken Pomeroy's offensive and defensive efficiency numbers. Its not my place to explain these numbers, but you can check out http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/stats_explained/ for what the stats mean. But basically a good offensive efficiency rating means a team is good at offense and a good defensive efficiency rating means your good at D. Ken combines these two efficiency ratings into the "Pythag Winning Percentage" which basically predicts how a team will do against an average schedule. For example, last year's national champion Florida, ended up #1 in the Pythag category. They were projected to have a 97.4 winning percentage against an average schedule. The worst, not suprisingly was 1-26 Savannah State with .8% Pythag winning percentage. This means (theoretically), Savannah State would only have won 1 of every 100 games against an average NCAA schedule last year.
Ohio State's won 12 in a row, but are they really getting better? I envisioned them not only being a grind-it-out, half-court team that beats you 65 to 55.. but also a team that if they were hot offensively would beat you 85 to 55. Oden's quietly putting up 16, 10, and almost 4 blocks per game.. but no one's been exceptional on offense. Luckily no team in the Big Ten can really score the ball this year, so it will be interesting to see how they fare against good teams that push the tempo in March.
Oklahoma State's tumble continues (5 of 6 losses).. getting rocked at home by Texas A&M last night. Its too early to say the Cowboys are done, because they have winnable games left (at Texas Tech, vs Kansas State, at Baylor, at Nebraska).. but they need to get a move on. If they win those 4 and end up 23-8 and 9-7 in the Big 12.. they'll be in the Dance.
The Siegel Quality Ranking is back for its second go-round. Big positive movers in the past week:
SIU up from 7 to 4
Duke up from 21 to 12
UNLV up form 23 to 14
Maryland up from 36 to 20
San Diego State up from 53 to 38
Winthrop shoots up to 46th after not being part of last week's ranking.
BC down to 16 from 10
Creighton down to 17 from 11
Arizona down to 21 from 12
Kentucky down to 27 from 17
Indiana down to 33 from 24
Villanova down to 36 from 26
Wichita State down to 56 from 34
Quality Ranking Rules:
A quality game is one of three things: A home game against a Top 50 RPI team, a Neutral game against a Top 100 team, and a Road win against a Top 150 team. Such wins are hard to come by and only the real NCAA Tournament contenders are able to win many.