Bracketology Monday: ASU, Memphis, Ole Miss In

    
March 8th, 2010
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Final Four 2010

Final Four 2010


The Bracketology field is based on how the tourney looks "as of today." The field below is not based on who I think deserves to be in, but a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand. I'll next post a Bracketology update again on Wednesday. Look below for commentary on today's changes.

 

Why should you care what I have to say? In 2007 & 2008,  I was considered to have one of the Top 2 or 3 brackets amongst 53 national experts including Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish and the like. (Admittedly my 2009 final bracket was rather weak.. not sure what happened. Can't win 'em all.)

 

Notes:

Arrows ( ) indicate movement by seed. Green font indicates new to the field this week. Conference champions are not my end of season predictions, but current leaders. Ties atop conference standings go to the higher RPI team. Check-mark () indicates automatic bid.

   

ONE  

Kansas**

Kentucky**

Syracuse**

Duke**

 

TWO

West Virginia

Ohio St

Purdue**

New Mexico**

 

THREE

Kansas State

Villanova

Pittsburgh

Michigan State

 

FOUR

Vanderbilt

Wisconsin

Maryland

Temple**

 

FIVE

Butler**

Tennessee

BYU

Baylor

 

SIX

Xavier

Texas A&M

Gonzaga**

Georgetown

 

SEVEN

Richmond

Northern Iowa

Texas

UTEP**

 

EIGHT

Clemson

Florida State

Oklahoma St

Louisville

 

NINE

UNLV

California**

Missouri

Wake Forest

 

TEN

Marquette

Old Dominion**

Utah St**

Virginia Tech

 

ELEVEN

Notre Dame

St. Mary's

Cornell

Georgia Tech

 

TWELVE

Siena**

Memphis

Florida

Illinois

 

THIRTEEN

Arizona St

Ole Miss

Kent St**

Murray State

 

FOURTEEN

Wofford**

Oakland**

Weber St**

Sam Houston St**

 

FIFTEEN

Morgan St**

UCSB**

Troy**

ETSU

 

SIXTEEN + ONE

Winthrop

Stony Brook**

Quinnipiac**

Lehigh** / Jackson St**

 

** = Automatic Bid

 

 

League Leaders/Winners (31)

- Leaders throughout the season are merely the first place team in the standings as of the update, and not projected winners. Ties go to the higher RPI team. New teams this week in green.

 

America East - Stony Brook

A-10 - Temple

ACC - Duke

Atlantic Sun - ETSU

Big 12 - Kansas

Big East - Syracuse

Big Sky - Weber St

Big South - Winthrop

Big Ten - Purdue

Big West - UCSB

CAA - Old Dominion

Conference USA - UTEP

Horizon - Butler

Ivy - Cornell

MAAC - Siena

MAC - Kent St

MEAC - Morgan St

MVC - Northern Iowa

MWC - New Mexico

Northeast - Quinnipiac

Ohio Valley - Murray St

Pac-10 - California

Patriot - Lehigh

SEC - Kentucky

Southern - Wofford

Southland - Sam Houston St

SWAC - Jackson St

Summit - Oakland

Sun Belt - Troy

WAC - Utah St

WCC - Gonzaga

*** = Locked Up Automatic Bid

 

Last In: Ole Miss, Arizona St, Illinois, Florida

 

Last Out: San Diego St, Seton Hall, South Florida, UAB

Further Four: Rhode Island, Washington, Minnesota

 

Dropped Out Of Field (at-large): Rhode Island, UAB, UCONN

Comments

Shawn Siegel's picture

THOUGHTS

-- Arizona St, Memphis, and Ole Miss return to the projected field. Each has been in at some point earlier in the season, but not for many weeks.

-- San Diego St remains just on the edge, despite being in that spot for a few weeks now. The problem with SDSU, despite the high RPI, is that they lack quality wins. The home win over New Mexico is great, the home win over #47 UNLV is mildly impressive, and then their 3rd best win is at home over mediocre Pac-10 team Arizona (87th). 3 Top 100 wins is not terribly impressive. Utah, also in the MWC, has 3 Top 100 teams, already mentioned Arizona has 4. Still, don't count them out by any means.

-- Seton Hall & South Florida both finished 9-9 in the Big East and are hopeful that the committee is willing to take 9 league teams. USF plays DePaul in round 1 of the BE Tournament (a win over the Demons wouldnt change anything), but a 2nd round win over Georgetown would certainly shake things up. Similarly, Seton Hall plays Providence (a dangerous team) and then potentially Notre Dame.

-- UCONN, another BE hopeful, will certainly need to beat St. John's and then Marquette in Round 2 to get back into contention.

-- Purdue retakes its #2 seed after relinquishing it the prior week, thanks to losses by K-State & Villanova. New Mexico also moves up to a #2 seed (for the first time this season), but anything short of an MWC tourney win and they'll fall back.

-- A lot of the Bubble teams have faltered late, but the problem is that there haven't been any hot teams to take their place. Besides URI, UCONN, and UAB who fell out of the field this week, Illinois, Florida, and Georgia Tech have all stumbled in recent weeks but are lucky that there's simply no one else around to take their spots.

What do you think about today's Bracketology?

CHN MemberCHN Writer500+ CHN PointsUgroup Member
spot on 65's picture

why ASU over Washington? You

why ASU over Washington? You say there are no hot teams. UW has won 9 of 11 including the last three on the road. im scratching my head

ASUWho's picture

ASU has won 7 of 8 and beat

ASU has won 7 of 8 and beat UW more recently so why not ASU over UW?

spot on 65's picture

ASU lost 79-56 to UW in

ASU lost 79-56 to UW in thier last meeting Feb 6th and they have won 6 of their last 8. sorry

Anonymous's picture

What is it going to take to

What is it going to take to get Tennessee up to a #4? They're a #4 in most brackets already.

Kentuckyforev18's picture

Tennessee

Vanderbilt, Wisconsin, Maryland, and Temple all have better resumes than Tennessee thats why. Yes the Vols did beat both Kansas and Kentucky but both were at home and they have nothing else that stands out to you. Their best road win is against Memphis which is only looking better as of late. They were 4-4 in away games in conference. They beat Mississippi State, South Carolina, Alabama, and LSU. They lost to Vanderbilt by 19, being one of their 2 losses to the Commodores this year. They lost to Florida which would have been a sweep if not for Scotty Hopson's late heroics for the Vols at home. They also lost to Kentucky, non competitive against Georgia and USC killed them by 22 when the Vols were at full strength. The SEC just isn't that strong of a conference once again this year and Tennessee doesn't have that much to show besides two home wins against Kansas and Kentucky.

CHN MemberUgroup Member
Anonymous's picture

If the committee takes into

If the committee takes into consideration the injury to Jon Leuer, which left Wisconsin without their best player for 9 conference games (Without Leuer they still crushed healthy Purdue and Michigan St. teams at home and barely lost to both on the road) and they still only finished 1 game behind the three-way tie for first, then Wisconsin deserves to be a 3 or 2 seed. Seriously, look at their non conference wins compared to the other Big Ten teams...they beat the best the ACC has to offer in Maryland and Duke. They are absolutely rolling now with Leuer back and healthy, after Ohio St., they should be the highest seeded Big Ten team.

Anonymous's picture

How in the world is Texas

How in the world is Texas A&M listed as a dropping sixth seed?

inflow's picture

lol

memphis and ole miss wouldn't even get consideration if they were midmajors. this is laughable, their resume's consist of nothing

CHN Member2x Mid-Major Pickem Winner2x Pickem Winner100+ CHN Points
Anonymous's picture

Funny considering taht

Funny considering taht Memphis is in a mid-major conference

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