Bracketology: Sunday Morning Update

    
March 11th, 2012

3:00 AM Sunday: This is the 2nd to last Bracketology projection of the season, with the last coming sometime before the Selection Show. Since Saturday evening's update, a few teams locked up conference titles, but the overall field looks quite similar. Titles went to Louisville (Big East), Missouri (Big 12), Long Beach St (Big West), Ohio (MAC), New Mexico (MWC), Mississippi Valley St (SWAC), and New Mexico St (WAC).

 

MVSU is headed for a First Four game, Ohio seems destined for a 14 seed, and New Mexico St will most likely be a 13. I currently have Long Beach as the first 12 seed, but an 11 is not out of the question. Missouri remains the #1 two seed for now, while Louisville stays a 5 despite the win. Its possible they move up to a 4 in final projection, replacing Wichita St. New Mexico moved into a 6 in this late night projection, replacing foe San Diego St. Those two along with UNLV form an odd threesome in the 6-7 range that I'm struggling to sort properly. The committee could conceivably place any of these teams in the 6 through 8 range.

 

Why Pay Attention to What I Have to Say: Collegehoops.net's projections have consistently proven to be the best in the business. Over the last 4 years, Shawn Siegel is the #1 ranked Bracketologist according to the Bracket Project. This ranking includes the likes of Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish, Jerry Palm, and Andy Glockner.. none of whom come close. 

 

As always, the field below is a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand today, not what they should do. This is done by taking into account standings, polls, computer rankings, and the committee's historical biases. Check out the follow up Bubble Watch for updates about teams on the NCAA Tournament Bubble, and NITology for a ranking of the best of the rest.

 

Notes:

Arrows indicate how many seeds a team has moved up or down since the previous update. Teams in Green are new to the field today. Teams in CAPS have locked up a bid. **=Projected Conference Champs. Conference Champion.

 

 

ONE

Kentucky**

Syracuse

North Carolina**

Michigan St**

 

TWO

Missouri**

Duke

Ohio State

Kansas

 

THREE

Baylor

Marquette

Michigan

Wisconsin

 

FOUR

Indiana

Georgetown

Murray St

Wichita St

 

FIVE

Florida St

Louisville

Vanderbilt

Florida

 

SIX

Creighton

Temple

Saint Mary's

New Mexico

 

SEVEN

San Diego St

UNLV

Cincinnati

Memphis

 

EIGHT

Gonzaga

Notre Dame

Saint Louis

Iowa St

 

NINE

Kansas St

Alabama

UCONN

Purdue

 

TEN

Harvard

Southern Miss

West Virginia

Virginia

 

ELEVEN

VCU

Xavier**

California

Colorado St

 

TWELVE

Long Beach St

BYU

NC State

Texas / Seton Hall

 

THIRTEEN + 2

Colorado

Tennessee / Northwestern

Belmont

Davidson

 

FOURTEEN

New Mexico St

South Dakota St

Ohio

Montana

 

FIFTEEN

Loyola (MD)

Long Island

Lehigh

Detroit

 

SIXTEEN + 2

UNC-Asheville

Lamar

Vermont / Mississippi Valley St

Norfolk St / Western Kentucky

 

Last In: Northwestern, Tennessee, NC State, Seton Hall

 

First Out: Mississippi St, South Florida, Drexel, Iona

 

Further Four: Miami, Washington, Ole Miss, Dayton

Dropped Out Of Field (at-large): xx

New (at-large): xx

 

 

Conference Bids

- Multiple Bid Leagues

 

Big East - 9

Big Ten - 7

Big 12 - 6

ACC - 5

SEC - 5

MWC - 4

A-10 - 3

WCC - 3

CUSA - 2

MVC - 2

Pac-12 - 2

------------------- (20 one-bid leagues)

 

League Leaders/Winners (31)

- #1 team according to current standings

- New leaders in green

- Locked Up Bid

 

America East - Vermont
A-10 - Xavier
ACC - North Carolina
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
Big 12 - Missouri
Big East - Louisville
Big Sky - Montana
Big South - UNC-Asheville
Big Ten - Michigan St
Big West - Long Beach
CAA - VCU
Conference USA - Memphis
Horizon - Detroit
Ivy - Harvard
MAAC - Loyola (MD)
MAC - Ohio
MEAC - Norfolk St
MVC - Creighton
MWC - New Mexico
Northeast - Long Island
Ohio Valley - Murray St
Pac-12 - Colorado
Patriot - Lehigh
SEC - Kentucky
Southern - Davidson
Southland - Lamar
SWAC - Mississippi Valley St
Summit - South Dakota St
Sun Belt - Western Kentucky
WAC - New Mexico St
WCC - Saint Mary's

 

Check out Bubble Watch for updates and NITology for teams that are 2nd best. Follow Shawn @collegehoopsnet for his up to the minute bracketology thoughts.