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Bracketology: Under A Month to Selection Sunday
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February 21st, 2012
by Shawn Siegel
In this week's
Bracketology projection, Northwestern and Miami enter the field in place of
slumping Illinois and Minnesota. Arizona remains the last team out, while South
Florida is now firmly in the picture.
**
Collegehoops.net's projections have consistently proven to be the best in the
business. Over the last 4 years,
Shawn Siegel is the #1
ranked Bracketologist according to the
Bracket Project.
This ranking includes the likes of Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish, Jerry Palm, and
Andy Glockner.. none of whom come close.
As always, the field below is a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand today, not what they should do. This is done by taking into account standings, polls, computer rankings, and the committee's historical biases. Check out the follow up Bubble Watch for rankings and standings of teams on the NCAA Tournament Bubble
Notes:
Arrows
indicate how many seeds a team
has moved up or down since the previous update. Teams in
Green are new to the field today. Teams in CAPS have locked up a bid.
**=Projected Conference Champs
| ONE |
Kentucky**
Syracuse**
Duke**
| TWO |
Kansas**
| THREE |
| FOUR |
| FIVE |
Temple**
| SIX |
| SEVEN |
| EIGHT |
|
NINE |
Harvard**
|
TEN |
| ELEVEN |
| TWELVE + 1 |
Northwestern / Miami
| THIRTEEN + 1 |
Iona**
| FOURTEEN |
Akron**
Nevada**
Drexel**
Davidson**
|
FIFTEEN |
Belmont**
Weber St**
Valparaiso**
Bucknell**
| SIXTEEN + 2 |
Long Island**
Texas-Arlington**
UNC-Asheville** / Mississippi Valley St**
Stony Brook** / Savannah St**
Last In: Texas, NC State, Miami, Northwestern
First Out:
Arizona, Minnesota, South Florida, IllinoisFurther Four: Oregon, VCU, St. Joseph's, Colorado St
Dropped
Out Of Field (at-large): Illinois, Minnesota
New
(at-large): Miami, Northwestern
| Conference Bids |
- Multiple Bid Leagues
Big East - 9
Big Ten - 7
ACC - 6
Big 12 -
6SEC - 5
A-10 - 3
MWC - 3
WCC - 3
CUSA - 2
MVC - 2
Pac-12 - 2
------------------- (20 one-bid leagues)
| League Leaders/Winners (31) |
- #1 team according to current standings
- New leaders in green
America East - Stony Brook
A-10 - Temple
ACC - Duke
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
Big 12 - Kansas
Big East - Syracuse
Big Sky - Weber St
Big South - UNC-Asheville
Big Ten - Michigan St
Big West - Long Beach
CAA - Drexel
Conference USA - Southern Miss
Horizon - Valparaiso
Ivy - Harvard
MAAC - Iona
MAC - Akron
MEAC - Savannah St
MVC - Wichita St
MWC - New Mexico
Northeast - Long Island
Ohio Valley - Murray St
Pac-12 - California
Patriot - Bucknell
SEC - Kentucky
Southern - Davidson
Southland - Texas-Arlington
SWAC - Mississippi Valley St
Summit - Oral Roberts
Sun Belt - Middle Tennessee
WAC - Nevada
WCC - Saint Mary's
Check out the companion Bubble Watch for a more in-depth look at teams on the NCAA Bubble. If you like my work, spread the word on your go-to message boards and fan sites!
Comments
are you serious? oregon OOC
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Wed, 2012-02-22 12:11.
are you serious? oregon OOC SOS: 123, Arizona OOC: 68. play someone outside the conference
Don't forget, this is my
Submitted by Shawn Siegel on Wed, 2012-02-22 15:35.
Don't forget, this is my projection of what the committee will do.. not who I think deserves a slot. Personally, I dont think either Ore or Az deserves a bid in the slightest. But AZ ranks higher than Oregon in other ratings, Sagarin, KenPom, etc and I know the committee will focus more on the non-conference schedule (Az's close losses to Florida and SDSU) than the head to head.
also, wins in top 100 RPI:
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Wed, 2012-02-22 12:18.
also, wins in top 100 RPI: arizona: 5 with a top 50 win @Cal, Oregon: 2
Long Beach State
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Wed, 2012-02-22 15:33.
Long Beach State falls after losing at the buzzer at Creighton? That seems strange.
Big East
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Wed, 2012-02-22 15:35.
I also don't understand how the Big East gets 9 teams in the field when it has South Florida in 4th place. I'm not saying you're wrong, that it's not going to happen, I just don't understand why it would happen.
Because of the Big East's
Submitted by Shawn Siegel on Fri, 2012-02-24 11:14.
Because of the Big East's unbalanced schedule, the league standings dont necessarily equate to other league standings. They've simply had an easier schedule than a lot of other league teams. But I agree, it doesnt look to great for the league.
Unbalanced schedules
Submitted by Raphielle Johnson on Tue, 2012-02-28 10:15.
To be fair every BCS AQ league other than the Big 12 has unbalanced schedules. Not saying USF's in right now but analyzing conference play has become more about the lottery that happens when the schedules get released in the spring/summer.
So let's all stand up and thank college football for this nonsense.
Zona beats UCLA. Ugly win
Submitted by Zonafan (not verified) on Sun, 2012-02-26 02:01.
Zona beats UCLA. Ugly win but still a win. If they beat ASU and finish with 2/3 wins in Pac 12 tourney and finish 24/5-10 they're in?
Actually you are rated 2nd
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Sun, 2012-02-26 23:26.
Actually you are rated 2nd best on Bracket Project.
Bracketology: Under A Month to Selection Sunday | College
Submitted by surf lessons newport beach (not verified) on Fri, 2012-04-20 05:12.
You're so awesome! I don't believe I have read something like that before. So nice to discover somebody with genuine thoughts on this issue. Seriously.. many thanks for starting this up. This site is one thing that is needed on the internet, someone with a little originality!
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About Shawn Siegel
Columnist
Shawn Siegel - Head Editor
Contact
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Background
Shawn Siegel created CollegeHoops.net (formerly collegehoopsnet.com) back in the summer of 2002, and it has since grown into the web's largest independent college basketball site, visited by over 1,000,000 visitors per year. Shawn is responsible for the CHN Top 50,Bracketology projections (he is ranked the #1 Bracketologist over the last 4 years), as well the NBA Mock Draft.
Shawn's college basketball and NBA Draft commentary has been quoted in dozens of national newspapers, and he's been a featured guest on numerous radio programs.
After graduating from Washington University and Washington University Law School before, Shawn passed the New Jersey Bar exam but no longer practices Law. For more on his background, visit his
LinkedIn profile.
Please email him at shawn@collegehoops.net with all media requests, advertising inquiries, and partnership opportunities.
Shawn's Personal Site: Eye Am Shawn
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Location
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arizona over Oregon?
Oregon has the road win @ Arizona and is 17 spots higher in the RPI. Yet you have Arizona 4 spots ahead of them. That makes zero sense. Arizona isn't ahead in h2h or in body of work.