Bracketology: UW and SDSU In, Memphis and ASU Out

    
March 12th, 2010
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Final Four 2010

Final Four 2010


The Bracketology field is based on how the tourney looks "as of today." The field below is not based on who I think deserves to be in, but a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand. The next Bracketology update will be on Saturday. Look below for commentary on today's changes.

 

Why should you care what I have to say? In 2007 & 2008,  I was considered to have one of the Top 2 or 3 brackets amongst 53 national experts including Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish and the like. (Admittedly my 2009 final bracket was rather weak.. not sure what happened. Can't win 'em all.)

 

Notes:

Arrows ( ) indicate movement by seed. Green font indicates new to the field this week. Conference champions are not my end of season predictions, but current leaders. Ties atop conference standings go to the higher RPI team. Check-mark () indicates automatic bid.

   

ONE  

Kansas**

Kentucky**

Duke**

Syracuse**

 

TWO

West Virginia

Ohio St

Purdue**

New Mexico**

 

THREE

Kansas State

Villanova

Baylor

Michigan State

 

FOUR

Wisconsin

Pittsburgh

Maryland

Georgetown

 

FIVE

Temple**

Vanderbilt

Tennessee

Butler

 

SIX

BYU

Texas A&M

Xavier

Richmond

 

SEVEN

Northern Iowa

UTEP**

Texas

Oklahoma St

 

EIGHT

Gonzaga

Florida State

Marquette

California**

 

NINE

UNLV

Louisville

Notre Dame

Clemson

 

TEN

Missouri

Old Dominion

St. Mary's

Utah St**

 

ELEVEN

Virginia Tech

Wake Forest

Cornell

Georgia Tech

 

TWELVE

Siena

Florida

Ole Miss

Washington

 

THIRTEEN

Illinois

San Diego St

Murray State

Oakland

 

FOURTEEN

Wofford

Akron**

Sam Houston St**

Montana

 

FIFTEEN

North Texas

UCSB**

Morgan St**

ETSU

 

SIXTEEN + ONE

Vermont**

Winthrop

Robert Morris

Lehigh** / UAPB**

 

** = Automatic Bid

 

 

League Leaders/Winners (31)

- Leaders throughout the season are merely the first place team in the standings as of the update, and not projected winners. Ties go to the higher RPI team. New teams this week in green.

 

America East - Vermont

A-10 - Temple

ACC - Duke

Atlantic Sun - ETSU

Big 12 - Kansas

Big East - Syracuse

Big Sky - Montana

Big South - Winthrop

Big Ten - Purdue

Big West - UCSB

CAA - Old Dominion

Conference USA - UTEP

Horizon - Butler

Ivy - Cornell

MAAC - Siena

MAC - Akron

MEAC - Morgan St

MVC - Northern Iowa

MWC - New Mexico

Northeast - Robert Morris

Ohio Valley - Murray St

Pac-10 - California

Patriot - Lehigh

SEC - Kentucky

Southern - Wofford

Southland - Sam Houston St

SWAC - UAPB

Summit - Oakland

Sun Belt - North Texas

WAC - Utah St

WCC - St. Mary's

*** = Locked Up Automatic Bid

 

Last In: San Diego St, Washington, Ole Miss, Illinois

 

Last Out: Rhode Island, Memphis, Minnesota, Arizona St,

Further Four:  Seton Hall, Mississippi St, Dayton, South Florida

 

Dropped Out Of Field (at-large): Arizona St, Memphis

 

 

Comments

Shawn Siegel's picture

THOUGHTS

-- Its 5 in the morning.. I need sleep.. bad. I'll post some comments on Friday's Bracketology at a normal human hour..

CHN MemberCHN Writer500+ CHN PointsUgroup Member
Shawn Siegel's picture

Alright.. -- Washington &

Alright..

-- Washington & San Diego St are the new editions. I'm still not convinced the committee is terribly high on SDSU, but bubble teams keep losing by the bunch, so eventually they'll simply get in by default. Washington has won 10 of 12 and is now 49th in the RPI. If they win tonight, and knock off Stanford to move to the Pac-10 title game, they'll be looking at a bid.

-- Those two replace Memphis and Arizona St, both who blew games against rather tame opponents in the opening round of their respective tournaments. For Memphis, it was their 2nd lost to Houston, and 4th against a team below 125th in the RPI.. not good. Compared to those 4 losses, Memphis only has 2 Top 50 wins, and both of those are against a fading UAB side.

-- Illinois is obviously weak in RPI (76th) and aloss to Wisconsin would drop them to 18-14, which hardly looks tourney-worthy. The question though is what remaining bubble team is deserving? Rhode Island and Wichita St have the best RPIs (41 & 42), but URI struggled late, while Wichita st has only one quality win the entire season. The opening is certainly there for a URI or Dayton with a strong showing in the A10 tournament.

-- Off the bubble, the big winners of the day are Marquette & Notre Dame who each move up 2 seeds each. Both have soared 12+ spots in the RPI since the Big East tournament began (over 20 spots in the case of ND) are certainly locks.

-- Georgetown also moved up 2 seeds, thanks to beating Syracuse. More importantly, their RPI is now 9th.. which is too high to ignore. Perhaps also the committee will take into account Austin Freeman's struggles for a bit and discount one of their later losses.

-- Georgetown's surge knocks down Temple & BYU despite those teams not losing. Also near the top, Baylor becomes a 3 seed for the first time as they replace Pitt. Baylor has soared to 7th in the RPI, while Pitt lost in the Big East quarterfinals.

That's all for now. What do you think today?

CHN MemberCHN Writer500+ CHN PointsUgroup Member
Jeff's picture

LOL

@ Temple 5 seed and down arrow. Nova is no longer much ahead of us, possibly at all.

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