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Bracketology: Villanova Loses #1 Seed
February 16th, 2010
by Shawn Siegel
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Final Four 2010
The Bracketology field is based on how the tourney looks "as of this moment." The field below is not based on who I think deserves to be in, but a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand. For the next few weeks, I'll be posting Bracketology updates every Tuesday & Friday. In late February, I release Bracketology updates daily as the season enters crunch time.
Why should you care what I have to say? In 2007 & 2008, I was considered to have one of the Top 2 or 3 brackets amongst 53 national experts including Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish and the like. (Admittedly my 2009 final bracket was rather weak.. not sure what happened. Can't win 'em all.)
Notes:
Arrows indicate movement by seed. Green indicates new to the field this week. Conference champions are not my end of season predictions, but current leaders. (Ties atop conference standings go to the higher RPI team).
ONE
Kansas**
Kentucky**
Duke**
Syracuse**
TWO
THREE
FOUR
Gonzaga**
FIVE
Butler**
SIX
SEVEN
Richmond**
EIGHT
NINE
UTEP**
TEN
Siena**
ELEVEN
Virginia Tech
Cornell** 
TWELVE
Oklahoma St
Florida
THIRTEEN
Marquette
Utah St**
Murray State**
Kent St**
FOURTEEN
Charleston**
Oakland**
Weber St**
Sam Houston St**
FIFTEEN
Coastal Carolina**
Morgan St**
UCSB**
Arkansas St**
SIXTEEN + ONE
Stony Brook**
Belmont**
Robert Morris**
Lehigh** / Jackson St**
** = Automatic Bid
League Leaders/Winners (31)
- Leaders throughout the season are merely the first place team in the standings as of the update, and not projected winners. Ties go to the higher RPI team. New teams this week in green.
America East - Stony Brook
A-10 - Richmond
ACC - Duke
Atlantic Sun - Belmont
Big 12 - Kansas
Big East - Syracuse
Big Sky - Weber St
Big South - Coastal Carolina
Big Ten - Michigan St
Big West - UCSB
CAA - Old Dominion
Conference USA - UTEP
Horizon - Butler
Ivy - Cornell
MAAC - Siena
MAC - Kent St
MEAC - Morgan St
MVC - Northern Iowa
MWC - New Mexico
Northeast - Robert Morris
Ohio Valley - Murray St
Pac-10 - California
Patriot - Lehigh
SEC - Kentucky
Southern - Charleston
Southland - Sam Houston St
SWAC - Jackson St
Summit - Oakland
Sun Belt - Arkansas St
WAC - Utah St
WCC - Gonzaga
*** = Locked Up Automatic Bid
Last In: Marquette, Florida, Ole Miss, Saint Mary's
Last Out: Dayton, Cincinnati, Mississippi St, San Diego St
Further Four: Notre Dame, William & Mary, Wichita St, Virginia
Dropped Out Of Field (at-large): Dayton
Post your thoughts on this week's field below:
Comments
Why Butler ahead of the rest of the 5 seeds?
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Tue, 2010-02-16 18:10.
?
ranked higher in both polls
Submitted by Shawn Siegel on Tue, 2010-02-16 22:40.
ranked higher in both polls then the other 3, rpi's are very similar, is a conference champ. those 4 are all quite close though, any loss or big win would mix it up
Really, Shawn?
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Wed, 2010-02-17 08:06.
I expected better reasoning than they're ranked higher in the polls and are the conference champ of a one-bid league...
Butler's SOS is awful. Not quite BYU awful, but nowhere near the other teams in its range.
In Butler's defense, their
Submitted by Shawn Siegel on Wed, 2010-02-17 09:58.
In Butler's defense, their Non-Conference SOS is actually one of the best in the country, 13th, which is better then the other 3 in question.
New Mexico?
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Thu, 2010-02-18 13:17.
really man New Mexico over Georgetown, Ohio St, and Wisconsin?
Purdue
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Fri, 2010-02-19 16:29.
I dont possibly see how you can have duke ahead of purdue. purdue is playing solid basketball depsite that 3 game skid, but even then the games were close. Purdue is the superior team hands down and thats why they will get the number one seed heading into the tournement and duke will be lucky to get a number 2 seed.
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About Shawn Siegel
Columnist
Shawn Siegel - CHN President & Head Editor
Contact
shawn@collegehoops.net
Background
CHN Editor
Shawn Siegel is the self-proclaimed "hardest working man on the internet." He created CHN back in the summer of 2002, and it has since grown into the web's largest independent college basketball site. Shawn's college basketball and NBA Draft commentary has appeared across the web & print media, and he's beena featured guest on numerous radio programs. Please email him with any and all media requests or advertising inquiries.
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Thoughts
-- Dayton is the lone at-large team to drop out of the field, as 7th place in the A-10 won't cut it (but they have time to move back in).
-- However, 2 teams were able to move in now that Old Dominion has moved into first in the CAA, making it a 1-bid league for now. Virginia Tech & Marquette were the recipients of the 2 new spots.
-- Ole Miss was the lone team that moved more then 2 seeds, taking a 3 seed fall. The Rebels have lost 3 of 4 and are now .500 in SEC play. However, they have a favorable schedule remaining and could move back off the bubble with ease.
-- Villanova drops from a #1 seed after losing to UCONN last night. I have Duke as the new #1, despite Purdue getting more respect in the polls. Duke is #2 in the RPI and a conference leader as of now.
-- San Diego St and William & Mary show up on the bubble for the first time in a few weeks. W&M has perhaps the best non-conference wins of anyone around the bubble, but desperately needs to finish strong (preferably 3-0) in their remaining CAA games.
What do you think this week?