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Bracketoloy: February 23rd
February 22nd, 2009
by Shawn Siegel
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2009 Final Four
The Bracketology field is based on how the tourney looks "as of this moment." Arrows indicate the amount of seeds a team moved since the last update. (Just because a team won or lost doesn't necessarily mean they'll move substantially though.)
Why should you care what I have to say? Did you know, last year I was considered to have one of the Top 2 or 3 brackets (depending on the scoring rubric) amongst 53 national experts including Joe Lunardi, Gary Parrish and the like).
Movement:
Previous update was February 20th. Arrows indicate movement by seed. Two arrows equals a change of two seeds, etc..
To major changes at the top. Kansas moves up merely due to its continually improving RPI at the expense of Marquette. Lots of jostling in the middle seeds, especially with big wins by Texas and Kentucky over the weekend. UNLV is back in the field thanks to a huge win over UNLV, while Temple makes their debut due to the continual struggles of Virginia Tech.
*The late Arizona/ASU game is not accounted for in this update (I need sleep!).
ONE
TWO
THREE
FOUR
FIVE
SIX
LSU*
SEVEN
Utah*
EIGHT
NINE
TEN
ELEVEN
Creighton*
TWELVE
UNLV (new today)
Temple (new today)
THIRTEEN
VCU*
Western Kentucky*
Vermont*
FOURTEEN
Buffalo*
North Dakota St*
American*
Weber St*
FIFTEEN
Jacksonville* (new today)
Long Beach St* (new today)
Cornell*
Texas A&M - CC*
SIXTEEN + ONE
Robert Morris*
Tennessee-Martin*
Morgan State*
Radford* / Alabama St*
* = Conference champion
Bold = Tournament Bid
League Winners (31)
- Winners are merely the first place team in the standings as of today. Ties are given to the higher RPI team.
America East - Vermont
A-10 - Xavier**
ACC - North Carolina
Atlantic Sun - Jacksonville**
Big 12 - Oklahoma
Big East - UCONN
Big Sky - Weber St
Big South - Radford
Big Ten - Michigan State
Big West - Long Beach St**
CAA - VCU
Conference USA - Memphis
Horizon - Butler
Ivy - Cornell
MAAC - Siena
MAC - Buffalo
MEAC - Morgan State
MVC - Creighton
MWC - Utah
Northeast - Robert Morris
Ohio Valley - Tennessee-Martin
Pac-10 - Washington
Patriot - American
SEC - LSU
Southern - Davidson
Southland - Texas A&M-CC
SWAC - Alabama St
Summit - North Dakota St
Sun Belt - Western Kentucky
WAC - Utah St
WCC - Gonzaga
** = New conference leaders
Last In: UNLV, Kansas St, San Diego St, Temple (last)
Last Out: Saint Mary's, UAB, Miami, Oklahoma St
Further Four: Providence, Texas A&M, Michigan, USC
Dropped Out Today (at-large): Virginia Tech, Cincinnati (for UNLV, Temple)
Comments
It also doesn't help that
Submitted by Nick P (not verified) on Mon, 2009-02-23 13:29.
It also doesn't help that teams like Virginia Tech, Miami and Michigan are losing lately. Those were at one time top 50 wins. Hopefully MD can take care of Duke and get a road win this week and that should get them in your projected field. Go terps!
you bring up a good point
Submitted by Shawn Siegel on Mon, 2009-02-23 13:34.
you bring up a good point though, its possible in the end michigan/miami, etc do well and suddenly those are again Top 50-45 wins and Maryland all of a sudden has wins over a handful of tourney teams..
Siena
Submitted by Shawn Siegel on Mon, 2009-02-23 13:13.
Great email sent my way asking whether Siena, if they lost to Niagara or whoever in the MAAC tourney, would get an at-large bid?
This is a tough one. You look at the RPI right now of 24, and think they have to be in. Also, they do have 5 Top 100 wins. On the negative side, 0-4 against Top 50 teams might be enough to convince the committee siena can't simply hang with the big boys. The Saints got a little unlucky in their BracketBusters matchup, a home win over UNI does absolutely nothing for them. In fact, a win over Niagara in a couple days would instantly become their biggest win of the season. I think if Siena won out from here until the conference finals and lost to niagara lets say, they would make it as one of the final at-large teams. but if they lose one of their remaining two games, and then lose again in the tourney, the committee wouldn't take 2 maac teams.
UAB
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Mon, 2009-02-23 17:27.
Should I assume if UAB beats Memphis this Thursday that theyd be in the tourney?
UAB. Big if there.. but yes,
Submitted by Shawn Siegel on Tue, 2009-02-24 00:11.
UAB. Big if there.. but yes, if they win, they'd certainly move into the next field of 65. It would probably push them to 32nd-ish in the RPI. But that wouldn't necessarily make them season-end locks.
Marquette
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Mon, 2009-02-23 21:28.
So what is the basis behind dropping Marquette down to a 4 seed and moving Kansas up to a 3 seed, um... Marquette won both their games last week so why should they be moved down first off, and Kansas moving up because they beat Nebraska and Iowa State, I want to know what basis you have for moving Marquette down a seed
RPI. Numbers change each
Submitted by Shawn Siegel on Tue, 2009-02-24 00:09.
RPI. Numbers change each day/week even if both teams continue to win.. and with Kansas moving up to a #9 RPI now that was the difference.
Creighton
Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Tue, 2009-02-24 16:12.
One question Shawn........ Does a 27-7 Creighton team with a regular season MVC championship (ISU over UNI & CU over ISU sat.) get in the tourney after losing the MVC championship to Ill. St.? Would be 10-5 against RPI top 100, have an RPI in the 40's, and I believe the MVC regular season champ has gotten in since 93. Your thoughts, thank you.
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About Shawn Siegel
Columnist
Shawn Siegel - CHN President & Head Editor
Contact
shawn@collegehoops.net
Background
CHN Editor
Shawn Siegel is the self-proclaimed "hardest working man on the internet." He created CHN back in the summer of 2002, and it has since grown into the web's largest independent college basketball site. Shawn's college basketball and NBA Draft commentary has appeared across the web & print media, and he's beena featured guest on numerous radio programs. Please email him with any and all media requests or advertising inquiries.
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New Jersey
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maryland
got 2 emails about the non-appearance of maryland, so I thought I'd share here. The gist of them not making the field now is simple: 2-8 record vs Top 50 teams, and 3-8 record in road/neutral games. 'As of now', with that resume, I'm certain the committee would see through their one or two big wins, and look at the whole package which is rather lacking. RPI-wise at 53, their moving into much better position, and surely a win over Duke coming up would instantly get them back in the field..