Bubble Watch: Mid-Majors Clinging to At-Large Bids

    
January 4th, 2012 by Shawn Siegel
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Based on CollegeHoops.net's most recent Bracketology projection, here is how the NCAA Tournament Bubble currently stands. CHN will publish Bubble Watch on Tuesday's following the Bracketology update.

 

As always, the field below is a prediction of what the committee would do as things stand today, not what they should do. Teams are listed in order of likelihood of making the tournament.

 

 

 

 

Change  Seed  Team Conf. Record RPI KenPom Sagarin AP
10 Vanderbilt SEC 10-4 39 48 58 29
  11 Temple A10 9-3 27 44 52  
11 Pittsburgh BE 11-4 79 53 70 31
  11 Virginia Tech ACC 11-3 38 35  33  
  12 Arizona P12 10-4 53 41  56  
  12 Minnesota B10 12-3 20 46 47  
13 Cincinnati BE 11-3 117 47 63 34
  13 Northwestern   11-3 29 68 49  
13 Florida St ACC 8-5 78 40 62  
13 Marshall CUSA 9-4 68 60  54  
Bubble                
    Memphis CUSA 8-5 33 31 26  
    BYU WCC 12-4 69 20 32  
    Oklahoma B12 10-3 42 69 55  
    St. Joseph's A10 10-4 41 54 51  
  Dayton A10 10-4 35 70 60  
  Northern Iowa MVC 10-4 30 65 64  
    Ole Miss SEC 10-4 49 112 86  
  Washington P12 8-5 77 51 68  
  Texas A&M B12 9-4 226 85 134 35
    NC State ACC 8-4 73 62 59  

 

Dropped Out of Bubble Watch: Oregon St

 

 

Projected Conference Champs that would be on the Bubble if they lost title:

 

Change  Seed  Team Conf. Record RPI KenPom Sagarin AP
11 Southern Miss CUSA 13-2 18 72  37  
12 Ohio MAC 12-2 62 66 43 27
  12 Iona MAAC 11-3 32 42  45  
  13 Middle Tennessee SB 13-2 80 57 41  
Bubble                
    Belmont ASUN 10-5 64 28 34  
  Cleveland St HOR 12-3 58 101 74 38
    Long Beach St BW 8-6 16 37 38  

 

Projected Conference Leaders Out of Bubble Watch: Charleston

 


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