BubbleBoard: NCAA Tournament Bubble Ranking

    
February 25th, 2009

Updated as of 2/25/09, 12:10 pm.

 

The BubbleBoard is a new feature on CHN that ranks at-large contenders using a variety of standard resume components. The core of the ranking is the RPI, and like the RPI, the better you are, the lower your total score is. Bonus points are awarded for Top 50 success (particularly) & Road/Neutral wins. Further bonuses are awarded for playing challenging schedules, and to a lesser extent, challenging schedules in non-conference play.

 

The key reason the BubbleBoard exists is to expose teams that have performed extremely poorly in Top 50 games and games away from home. Ultimately, you want tourney teams capable of competing with the best away from home.

 

Interesting changes since previous update on 2/23

- BYU's win over SDSU actually hurt the Cougars (and Arizona). This knocked SDSU from the Top 50, so both teams "lose" the quality win for now.

- Wisconsin dropped for a similar reason.

- Boston College is the big gainer, their win over FSU really helped their RPI and added another Top 50 win.

- Providence jumps up from last place on the list due to beating Pitt, but perhaps they're not as high as you'd think.

 

Faker teams include: George Mason, Oklahoma St, San Diego St, South Carolina, Siena, UAB. (SDSU & Siena join the list. Maryland is removed)

Dangerous teams include: Arizona, Boston College, Kentucky, Tennessee, UNLV (BC joins the list in place of PSU.)

 

Team RPI SOS NCSOS Comp. = T50 W T50 L R/N W R/N L Bonus = Total = Was
Pittsburgh 1 16 19 3 7 2 8 3 52 -49 -50
Tennessee 27 1 1 19 5 7 7 6 27 -8 -9
Butler 20 98 13 23 2 1 11 3 21 2 2
UNLV 49 85 132 47 5 1 6 4 36 11 14
Texas A&M 34 29 153 32 4 5 5 6 20 12 15
Arizona 43 38 73 36 5 8 5 6 23 13 4
BYU 23 41 61 22 1 5 9 4 5 17 14
Minnesota 36 61 204 38 4 4 5 6 22 17 20
Wisconsin 30 5 25 22 2 8 6 7 2 20 9
Boston College 48 44 210 46 4 4 6 5 24 22 37
Oklahoma St 33 9 30 25 2 8 5 7 1 24 23
Utah St 28 135 188 38 1 1 10 3 13 26 26
Georgetown 47 2 8 33 3 8 4 7 7 26 23
Siena 25 66 2 23 0 4 8 6 -3 26 NA
Cincinnati 55 23 68 43 4 8 5 6 16 27 34
Temple 37 40 30 30 1 4 9 8 3 28 28
Michigan 56 18 81 44 4 8 4 8 13 31 25
Miami 46 10 206 41 3 7 5 6 11 31 30
Kentucky 60 88 190 57 4 4 7 4 26 31 35
USC 50 13 62 39 3 8 3 8 5 33 32
Creighton 45 124 146 48 1 0 10 4 13 35 36
UAB 39 72 45 35 1 5 7 8 -1 36 34
Baylor 59 12 78 45 3 9 4 6 7 38 37
Davidson 57 114 11 50 1 4 11 3 10 40 41
Florida 42 96 229 47 2 5 6 7 6 40 39
Maryland 54 35 155 47 3 8 3 7 6 41 47
Virginia Tech 61 58 174 54 3 6 7 7 13 41 46
Saint Mary's 51 143 111 52 1 2 10 4 10 42 35
San Diego St 53 49 103 45 1 5 6 6 0 45 41
Penn State 62 92 322 64 4 7 6 6 19 45 37
South Carolina 44 100 280 50 1 4 4 5 1 50 50
Nebraska 72 32 170 60 3 7 3 6 9 51 46
George Mason 52 81 37 45 0 2 5 9 -7 51 53
New Mexico 68 75 141 59 2 4 4 8 5 55 57
Illinois St 64 157 213 66 1 0 9 5 11 55 53
Providence 71 36 154 59 2 7 4 7 2 57 65
Kansas St 77 120 318 77 3 3 5 5 17 60 59
Notre Dame 73 57 266 66 3 9 5 9 5 61 59
Rhode Island 67 158 145 66 1 5 9 7 2 64 64

NC-SOS = Non-conference strength of schedule

Comp. = Modified RPI taking into account SOS/NCSOS a bit more

R/N = Road/neutral