BubbleBoard: Saturday Night Update

    
March 14th, 2009

The BubbleBoard is a new feature on CHN that ranks at-large contenders using a variety of standard resume components. The core of the ranking is the RPI, and like the RPI, the better you are, the lower your total score is. Bonus points are awarded for Top 50 success (particularly) & Road/Neutral wins. Further bonuses are awarded for playing challenging schedules, and to a lesser extent, challenging schedules in non-conference play.

 

The key reason the BubbleBoard exists is to expose teams that have performed extremely poorly in Top 50 games and games away from home. Ultimately, you want tourney teams capable of competing with the best away from home.

 

Interesting changes since previous update on 3/11

- Huge chances in the past few days of Championship Week action

- The big positive movers are USC (+26), Maryland (+20), SDSU (+19), Auburn (+10), Oklahoma St (+9). SDSU & OSU are virtual locks now.

- The big losers are South Carolina (-12), Miami (-9), UNLV (-9), Dayton (-8), Florida (-7), Northwestern (-7)

** Note the blue teams are the one's in the latest bracketology. However, the BubbleBoard was updated after new RPI calculations. In this update, South Carolina took a tumble, and Penn State got hurt as well. South Carolina in particular is in bad shape at this point considering the rise of Auburn and Mississippi St.

 

Faker teams: Florida, Miami, Providence, South Carolina, UAB, Virginia Tech   (Maryland, Oklahoma St, SDSU, USC removed. VT added)

Dangerous teams: BYU, Ohio St, Penn St   (BC, Dayton, Northwestern removed. Ohio st added)

 

- Mississippi State added to list, while Temple is removed after winning the A-10.

 

Team RPI SOS NCSOS Comp. = T50 W T50 L R/N W R/N L Bonus = Total = Was
Pittsburgh 1 8 15 2 8 3 9 4 48 -46 -49
BYU 28 61 69 27 4 4 11 5 24 4 -3
Oklahoma St 20 4 22 15 4 10 8 9 7 9 18
Ohio St 36 37 138 34 6 8 6 6 23 11 18
Dayton 27 84 120 31 3 2 8 7 17 14 6
Michigan 42 9 53 32 6 10 6 10 16 16 15
Texas A&M 37 36 135 34 4 5 7 7 16 18 12
San Diego St 31 38 92 29 2 5 9 6 7 21 40
Minnesota 40 35 188 38 5 8 6 7 16 23 22
Utah St* 25 141 179 36 1 2 12 4 11 25 29
Creighton 41 110 144 44 2 2 11 5 15 28 26
Wisconsin 44 17 43 34 4 10 6 9 5 29 22
USC 45 23 60 36 4 8 5 10 6 29 55
Maryland 51 24 128 43 4 7 6 8 11 32 52
Saint Mary's 47 156 87 49 2 3 13 5 16 34 33
Arizona 63 32 74 50 6 10 5 10 15 35 30
Illinois St 48 100 171 49 2 2 11 7 14 35 33
Boston College 61 70 233 58 4 5 7 7 16 42 38
UNLV 65 87 157 59 4 5 6 7 15 44 35
Auburn 58 62 201 54 2 3 6 7 7 47 57
UAB 46 71 56 40 0 5 9 10 -8 48 47
Penn State 68 113 313 70 6 9 7 8 20 49 44
Rhode Island 67 133 127 63 3 5 10 8 13 51 49
Northwestern 75 52 210 65 6 10 4 9 15 51 44
New Mexico 66 85 177 60 3 5 6 9 8 53 47
Kentucky 77 58 182 66 3 4 8 7 13 53 52
Virginia Tech 62 21 156 51 2 9 9 9 -3 54 52
Davidson 69 166 19 63 1 4 13 4 9 54 54
Florida 52 91 248 54 1 5 7 9 -3 57 50
Miami 64 30 224 56 2 7 6 8 -1 57 48
Misssippi St 74 60 168 64 1 3 8 7 3 61 NA
Providence 71 51 150 60 2 8 6 9 -4 64 63
South Carolina 59 96 271 60 0 4 5 7 -8 68 56

 

*Teams leading their leagues

 

NC-SOS = Non-conference strength of schedule

Comp. = Modified RPI taking into account SOS/NCSOS a bit more

R/N = Road/neutral