Daily Bracketology Tuesday: Shrinking Bubble

    
March 11th, 2008

Another day, another daily Field of 65. This is a field based on how the tourney looks "as of this moment." For one-bid leagues, I simply include the conference leader at the time of publishing. In case of ties, I use my projected winner.

 

Arrows indicate a team that moved up or down based on last night's performance. (Just because a team won or lost doesn't necessarily mean they'll move substantially.)

 

Note on Tuesday's Movement: Now things are finally getting interesting.. Upsets by San Diego (over Gonzaga) and MTSU (over South Alabama) shake up the puzzle as two bubble spots are burst. Say goodbye to Dayton and UAB.. who fall out of the Tournament despite being off (rough day). Assuming there will be another stolen spot somewhere along the way, then one in the 10-12 seed range is safe (maybe Cleveland St knocks off Butler tonight?)

 

Other changes to note: USC moves up to an 8, knocking down Pittsburgh. This was due to RPI updates.. and no relation to results last night (similarly, Kentucky moved up slightly). The loss by South Alabama (and San Diego's win, which probably hurt Saint Mary's seeding), allowed West Virginia and Kansas State to secure 8 seeds. San Diego enters the field as a 13 seed, while WKU is a 12. Lastly, I moved Austin Peay up to a 15 (where they probably should have been for some time) as their RPI has improved to 83rd.

 

Also, you might notice that ASU was the last team in yesterday, but survived unlike Dayton or UAB. This is because I'm certain the committee will do whatever it can to take at least 6 Pac-10 teams, at least based on how things currently stand.

 

ONE

Memphis*

North Carolina

Tennessee*

UCLA*

 

TWO

Texas *

Kansas

Duke*

Georgetown*

 

THREE

Wisconsin*

Xavier*

Louisville

UCONN

 

FOUR

Stanford

Notre Dame

Purdue

Vanderbilt

 

FIVE

Drake*

Indiana

Butler*

Marquette

 

SIX

Michigan State

Washington State 

Gonzaga

BYU*

 

SEVEN

Clemson

Oklahoma 

Mississippi State

USC

 

EIGHT

Pittsburgh

West Virginia

Kansas State

UNLV 

 

NINE

Baylor

Davidson*

South Alabama

Miami (FL)

 

TEN

Saint Mary's 

Arkansas

Kent State*

Texas A&M

 

ELEVEN

Kentucky

Arizona

UMASS

New Mexico

 

TWELVE

Illinois State

Ohio State

Arizona State

Western Kentucky*

 

THIRTEEN

George Mason*

San Diego*

Oral Roberts*

Cornell*

 

FOURTEEN

Boise State*

Siena*

Winthrop*

Belmont*

 

FIFTEEN

Stephen F. Austin*

UMBC*

CS Northridge*

Austin Peay*

 

SIXTEEN + ONE

American*

Sacred Heart*

Portland State*

Morgan State* /Alabama State*

 

* = Conference champion

Bold = Tournament Bid

 

League Winners (31)

America East - UMBC

A-10 - Xavier

ACC - Duke

Atlantic Sun - Belmont

Big 12 - Texas

Big East - Georgetown

Big Sky - Portland State

Big South - Winthrop

Big Ten - Wisconsin

Big West - CS Northridge

CAA - George Mason

Conference USA - Memphis

Horizon - Butler

Ivy - Cornell

MAAC - Siena

MAC - Kent State

MEAC - Morgan State

MVC - Drake

MWC - BYU

Northeast - Sacred Heart

Ohio Valley - Austin Peay

Pac-10 - UCLA

Patriot - American

SEC - Tennessee

Southern - Davidson

Southland - Stephen F. Austin

SWAC - Alabama State

Summit - Oral Roberts

Sun Belt - Western Kentucky

WAC - Boise State

WCC - San Diego

 

Last In:  New Mexico, Illinois State, Ohio State, Arizona State

Last Out: Dayton, Oregon, Syracuse, Villanova