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2007: MARCH MANIFESTO: SECRET #7

NCAA Tournament | All 65 Team Capsules | Win Your Pool

By Adam Stanco

BasketballWriter@cs.com

 

7 Secrets to Tournament Success: Confusion is the X-Factor

 

The mere thought of it makes you squirm…

 

Your friend drags you to a party full of strangers. Everyone is new. The faces are so unfamiliar they don’t even resemble anyone you know. And they’re all staring at you.

 

You don’t notice the smooth nacho dip on the coffee table or the fridge full of your favorite beer. You barely even notice the perky blonde blinking in your direction.

 

It could be a painful night. And it could be far worse. Whenever we are tossed into a pit of uncertainty, there is potential for disaster.

 

Just ask members of the Big XII conference about Syracuse’s 2003 National Championship run. To the teams in the Big XII, the Orange provided the great unknown, or – as anyone who follows the Big East calls it – their 2-3 zone. Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas were all befuddled by the Orange’s special defensive set. They couldn’t decipher the soft spots in the zone, just as you might miss snacks, drinks, or perky blondes when your common party environment is suddenly distorted.

 

Grit and resolve are synonymous with the Midwestern conference. Zones aren’t. The entire league played man-to-man almost exclusively for the duration of the 2003 season and, consequently, each of the Cuse victims were ill-equipped to handle the 2-3. By the time they hit Syracuse in the bracket, the Big XII teams toppled like Greg Ostertag on a balance beam. 

 

The 2-3 zone is humdrum for anyone who knows basketball. Syracuse played a unique version of it, however, featuring defenders with condor wingspans. They trapped quickly, recovered quickly, and moved fluidly as a unit. This wasn’t your fifth-grade 2-3 zone.

 

Still, teams within the Big East understood how to pounce on the weaknesses in the zone. They moved the ball around the perimeter, fastened a post player at the foul line to jumpstart the high-low game, and they played with patience. The Big XII teams weren’t outclassed by Syracuse, they were simply confused. And, in the big dance, confusion is a terminal disease.

 

An unfamiliar defense is not the only source of confusion for tourney coaches. They must also deal with preparing to play rare offensive sets, such as Princeton’s Motion Offense. The Tigers’ offense is based upon read-and-react principles, resulting in an endless string of back door cuts. The purpose of the offense is to generate flawless shot selection and limit the amount of possessions in a given game.

 

Any unusual style of play can baffle an opponent. The mystique alone can often shatter confidence. In fact, almost as famous as the Princeton Offense is, the fear of the offense burrows deeply into the mindset of favored tournament teams. In 1996, Princeton knocked off #3 seeded UCLA, the year after the Bruins won the title. The game-winning shot was a lay-up off of a back door cut.

 

Regardless of how they attempt to perplex the elite, none of the #16 seeds should present a problem for the best seeds. In fact, a #16 seed has never beaten a #1. Top-seeded Georgetown nearly lost to one in the first round of the 1989 tournament, but they narrowly skimmed out a 50-49 victory. Their opponent that game? The Princeton Tigers and their confusing motion offense.

 

But confusion sometimes leads to knowledge. Georgetown is now coached by the son of the coach who lost that infamous game in ’89, John Thompson, III. And, coincidentally, the Hoyas will be running their own unique offense… an adapted version of “The Princeton Offense.”

 

Examples:

Georgetown

Louisville

Southern Illinois

Texas Tech

 

Secrets For NCAA Tournament Success:

 

  1. Talent - NBA potential is no joke.

  2. Post Defense - The bigger, the better.

  3. Sharp Shooting - Simple math: three is better than two.

  4. Experience - Who has nerves of steel?

  5. Star Power - Winning is the All-American way.

  6. Guard Play - Little guys point the way.

  7. X-Factor - Fear of the unknown.

 

The March Manifesto is the secret to filling out your NCAA Tournament bracket.

 

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