Turnarounds: 31 Teams to Watch For in 08-09: Part One

Raphielle Johnson — Mon, 12 May 2008 08:57:20 -0700

With the off-season now upon us and the spring signing period well under way, this is a good opportunity to attempt to forecast some of the teams who could make the jump next season. Is there a team out there like this past season’s Drake Bulldogs, who went from ninth place to a dominating run through the Missouri Valley? Or how about Arizona State, a team that went from dead last in the Pac-10 to fifth place and could have the makings of a conference title run this season? With one pick for each conference, here are 31 teams you should keep an eye on next season.

America East: Maine

2007-08 Record: 7-23 (3-13)

With their top three scorers from last season all returning (as tri-captains no less), I think the Black Bears have a chance to make a move up the America East standings. Mark Socoby, mid-season transfer Kaimondre Owes and Junior Bernal will lead the way for head coach Ted Woodward next season, giving Maine a three-pronged attack on the perimeter. Their ascension up the standings will depend on what they can get from the frontcourt, most notably Phil Tchekane Bofia and Sean McNally. I’d say a move to the middle of the pack at least from Maine, but a title? Maybe a little premature on that, but you never know.

ACC: Wake Forest

2007-08 Record: 17-13 (7-9)

Not like this pick is a surprise, but the combination of a highly-touted recruiting class led by Al-Farouq Aminu and returnees such as Ish Smith, James Johnson and Chas McFarland could mean a top-four finish in the ACC for Dino Gaudio’s Demon Deacons. They weren’t too far off this season either, with five of their nine league losses being by seven points or less. And given the muddled picture that was the middle of the ACC standings last season, snatching a first-round bye in the 2009 ACC Tournament certainly isn’t out of the realm of possibility.

Atlantic Sun: Campbell

2007-08 Record: 10-20 (5-11)

Even with two of their top four scorers out of eligibility (Reggie Bishop and Jake Wohlfeil), the Camels have a good shot at improving their 5-11 league record. Only provisional members USC Upstate and North Florida were below them in the standings (Upstate actually had five wins as well), and Florida Gulf Coast had one more conference win. But they do return forward Jonathan Rodriguez, who averaged twenty points per game on his way to snatching up Mid-Major All-America honors from CollegeHoops.net and CollegeInsider.com. And with the solid recruiting class being brought in by head coach Robbie Laing, Campbell should have the tools necessary to make a move in the A-Sun.

Atlantic 10: George Washington

2007-08 Record: 9-17 (5-11)

I don’t think there’s any way the Colonials can be as bad as they were in 2007-08. From an Atlantic 10 Tournament title to not even reaching the conference tournament, GW couldn’t continue the momentum. Even with three players gone (Maureece Rice to graduation; Cheyenne Moore and Miles Beatty were dismissed on Wednesday by head coach Karl Hobbs) from last year’s team, the Colonials could make a move up the standings with many of the teams ahead of them going through roster turnover as well. Whether or not they get to the middle of the A-10 pecking order will depend on who becomes their go-to guy on the offensive end of the floor. But they should be a balanced group, which may work out just as well for the Colonials.

Big East: Providence

2007-08 Record: 15-16 (6-12)

Another season of underachievement led to the departure of longtime head coach Tim Welsh, who was replaced by National Coach of the Year Keno Davis last month. Just as important a development for the Friars may be the return of guard Sharaud Curry, who was a medical redshirt last season. As seen with Drake last season, Coach Davis puts a high value on perimeter players who can shoot the ball from the perimeter. Guard Dwain Williams has received permission to talk to other schools, but even with his loss the Friars should be well-stocked on the outside with the likes of Curry, Weyenmi Efejuku, Brian McKenzie and Jeff Xavier.

And don’t forget about jack-of-all-trades Geoff McDermott and pivot Randall Hanke. The hype for this team won’t reach what it was a couple seasons ago, when a team featuring Ryan Gomes thought to be a player in the Big East didn’t even reach .500, but they will be good. The question is just how far they can go in a loaded Big East.

Big Sky: Eastern Washington

2007-08 Record: 11-19 (6-10)

Last season was indeed a tough one for the Eagle program. Head coach Kirk Earlywine didn’t get the job until late June, and under his command was a nine-man roster featuring six players with no previous Division I playing experience. While they didn’t qualify for the Big Sky Tournament in 2007-08, six of their ten conference losses were by five points or less. Granted, replacing an all-conference player like Kellen Williams will have an effect, the four transfers who sat out last season along with the returning experience should make for a better season in Cheney, Washington.

Big South: Charleston Southern

2007-08 Record: 10-20 (4-10)

With the return of rising sophomores Omar Carter (Big South Freshman of the Year) and Jamarco Warren (member of the Big South’s All-Freshman Team), the Buccaneers should be a good bet to improve their last place finish of a year ago. Guard Chris Moore has graduated, but he’s the only loss of note for head coach Barclay Radebaugh, who has also signed a solid recruiting class. Guard Jaden Isler (Clovis, NM) could fit right into the guard slot left open by Moore’s departure, and the other three commits are no slouches either. Competing for the conference title may be a year away, but some of the teams who finished ahead of them in the standings last season have taken on some key losses due to graduation.

Big Ten: Illinois

2007-08 Record: 16-19 (5-13)

Once Eric Gordon decided to head to Indiana instead of Illinois, things went downhill for Bruce Weber’s Fighting Illini. With the cornerstone of last year’s recruiting class gone, Illinois scuffled on the offensive end of the floor, but the fight was still there as this group was a mere forty minutes away from an NCAA Tournament berth. Shaun Pruitt and Brian Randle are both out of eligibility, but every other key contributor from last season is slated to return, along with three newcomers. Stan Simpson was a standout performer at Chicago Simeon, and Coach Weber also received a commitment from Top-20 junior college talent Dominique Keller. After the first semester, Kentucky transfer Alex Legion will also be eligible. I don’t see this team losing thirteen conference games again this season.

Part Two tomorrow: Big 12, CUSA, Horizon, etc

Daily Dribble: 12/12

Shawn Siegel — Mon, 11 Dec 2006 22:52:38 -0800

Not much going on in college basketball until next Saturday thanks to finals. There were some games of note on Monday.. but mostly I can take today's Dribble to discuss whatever nonsense I please. The Games. New Top 25 member Oregon improved to 8-0 by blowing out Bethune- Cookman by 28. The big margin gave little used freshman Joevan (a potential All-first name pick) Catron a chance to shine. Catron, who had scored 9 points all season, poured in 15 on 6 of 6 shooting. New Mexico State's won 5 in a row after a bad 1-3 start. The Aggies were supposed to be an NCAA Tournament contender, but they've still yet to win a game on the road. Senior Elijah Ingram has been hampered with achilles issues all year and has been coming off the bench. The point guard only played 11 minutes in Monday's easy win over UAPB. Transfer Fred Peete, who was supposed to be a major scoring force, has only been mediocre. Peete averaged 13 per game two years ago with Kansas State, but is only averaging 10 so far on a weak 38% from the floor. To make things worse, the shooting guard is just 15 of 27 from the line. Freshman Barry Stewart continued his solid play by scoring 22 in Misssippi State's road win at Miami. MSU picked up their first road win of the season while the Hurricanes dropped to 6-4 overall. Jamont Gordon added 17 points, 7 boards, and 8 assists in the win. Gordon is one of the country's only player that excels in all three of those categories. He's now averaging about 15 points, 9 boards, and 5 assists on the season. There's only 12 games today, and nothing particularly exciting. The best games are out west as Saint Louis heads to Pacific, while Saint Mary's faces Nevada. 3-2 Campbell also faces San Diego State. Campbell features one of the country's most productive freshmen, Jonathan Rodriguez. Rodriguez is averaging 18 points and 8 boards so far, including a monster 25 and 15 effort against Radford. Rodriguez played on a stacked Miami Tropics AAU team and was on of Florida's better prep teams as well, but apparently the 6-5 forward was overlooked by the big boys. You have to understand that Campbell is a program that won just 2 game in the 2004-05 season.. so to have a player making such a big impact is a big deal. Even though there's no big marquee matchups this week.. I suggest you join CHN's weekly pick'em game. Each week, 12 games are assigned for you to pick, and the stats are tallied throughout the season. To sign up, simply register for the message board and see the thread on there about this week's games. We'll be releasing our next CHN Top 100 players ranking soon. It will be interesting to see who is #1. Noah was #1 in the preseason, with Hansbrough, Davis, and Oden coming in at 2,3,4. Kevin Durant was 7th in preseason, but he has to be in consideration with those other 4 for the top spot. Given another few weeks, Oden might emerge as the clear #1, but as of now, its still hard to say he deserves it over those other top stars. The lack of clear consensus #1 player as well as consenus #1 team is one reason why this season should feature lots of twists and turns all the way through the final four. Top 25 Poll's always lead to interesting debate. Fans always complain (like they do about CHN's own Top 50 power ranking) about the worth of these rankings, but yet they're just so extremely popular as discussion points. One of the big reasons for the intrigue is the lack of consensus about what the polls are really saying. One way to look at the Ap Top 25 is to think, okay, if the season ended today, these 25 teams have DONE the best. Another way though, is to say, these 25 teams ARE the best regardless of how they've done. Take UCONN.. ranked 8th in the coaches poll. UCONN hasn't beaten a team that the average fan out there even knows exists. Based on results, there's no basis for saying UCONN deserves to be in the Top 40.. or at least better than other unbeaten teams like Oklahoma St, Oregon, Clemson, etc. But since the season is not over today, I understand the desire of voters to express their opinion that UCONN is still better than those teams. Granted, I think the voters are wrong, but that's not the point. The poll's are better understood at this point as a balancing between the voter's views of who has done the best, and who they think is best. In a perfect world.. UCONN would play Oklahoma State on a neutral floor so that we'd always find out whether the voters opinion is right or wrong. But of course we don't, and it is precisely because we don't that the polls are always the ideal fodder for fan discussion. - Dribble is as Dribble does -