Pac-10: Five-Year Standings

    
October 23rd, 2008

 

PAC-10 FIVE-YEAR STANDINGS

 

This ranking tries to answer a simple question: Who has been the best team in the Pac-10 over the last five years?

 

A heavy emphasis is put on league play & NCAA Tournament success. NIT wins are meaningless here, as are non-conference wins.  Also, league tournaments wins are not taken into account. An original trial-scoring system included points for conference tourney wins. But then I realized the flukish nature of those tourney's did more harm than hurt: ie, 2008 Georgia, 2006 Syracuse, and 2004 Maryland ended up getting too much credit despite the reality that they were mediocre to sub-par teams. As it is, I feel satisfied this simple system does a good job of ranking the teams recent performance.

 

100 total points is set up to be the equivalent of batting .300 in baseball.. anything above and beyond is all-world stuff. 50 points is mediocre and you only start to get bad below 40 points. Not surprisingly, Oregon State, coming off an 0-18 league record, is one of the worst BCS programs with just 25 points.

 

The postseason scoring system is listed below, along with some related notes & thoughts. Check back next for the SEC ranking..

 

 

Pos. Team 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Wins Gms. Points  
                     
1 UCLA 7 11 14 15 16 63 90 70 Win %
    X 1st Round Finals Final 4 Final 4     33 Post Pts.
                  103  
                     
2 Stanford 17 11 11 10 13 62 90 69 Win %
    2nd Round 1st Round NIT 1st Round Sweet 16     15 Post Pts.
                  84  
                     
3 Arizona 11 15 11 11 8 56 90 62 Win %
    1st Round Elite 8 2nd Round 1st Round 1st Round     18 Post Pts.
                  80  
                     
4 Washington 12 14 13 8 7 54 90 60 Win %
    1st Round Sweet 16 Sweet 16 X X     14 Post Pts.
                  74  
                     
5 Oregon 9 6 7 11 9 42 90 47 Win %
    NIT X X Elite 8 1st Round     11 Post Pts.
                  58  
                     
6 Wash St 7 7 4 13 11 42 90 47 Win %
    X X X 2nd Round Sweet 16     10 Post Pts.
                  57  
                     
7 USC 8 5 8 11 11 43 90 48 Win %
    X X X Sweet 16 1st Round     8 Post Pts.
                  56  
                     
8 California 9 6 12 6 6 39 90 43 Win %
    X X 1st Round X NIT     3 Post Pts.
                  46  
                     
9 Arizona St 4 7 5 2 9 27 90 30 Win %
    X NIT X X NIT     2 Post Pts.
                  32  
                     
10 Oregon St 6 8 5 3 0 22 90 24 Win %
    X NIT X X X     1 Post Pts.
                  25  

 

-Ties are broken by favoring conference winning %

 

Thoughts

- Arizona is the lone Pac-10 team to make all 5 Tournaments, but those 3 first round losses hurt. Stanford is the only other team to at least even make the NIT 5 straight times.

- While UCLA's recent form is impressive, the Pac-10 has had the least overall postseason success of the BCS conferences. UCLA is the only Pac-10 team with 20+ postseason points. In the ACC & Big 12, two teams each have over 28 points, while the Big Ten has 3 teams with 20+ points, and the Big East has six such teams.

- The most dominant Pac-10 team (UCLA) has only won 70% of its league games, this is the lowest for any of the BCS leading teams.

- Despite the recent good form of Washington State & USC, their previous struggles still lock them down in 6th & 7th place.

- Stanford at 2nd might surprise many, but they have been the league's most consistent team, winning 10 or more games each season. Arizona had been on such a streak before last season.

- The Pac-10 averages 11.5 postseason points per team. However, the ACC teams for example, average 13.75. This means each ACC team has on average won an extra NCAA Tournament game per season compared to the Pac-10.

- In other words, Pac-10 teams have been past the 1st round of the NCAAs 13 times in this five-year period, while ACC teams have accomplished that feat 25 times.

 

Postseason Points

NIT = 1

NCAA 1st Round = 2

NCAA 2nd Round = 4

Sweet = 6

Elite 8 = 8

Final Four = 10

Final = 11*

Champs = 12*

 

* I've stopped giving 2 points per win in the final games, to prevent one year wonder teams from getting too much of a boost (ie, Georgia Tech or Ohio State in the Big Ten). Also, CBI bids receive no credit.

 

Big Ten: Five-Year Ranking