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NCAA TOURNAMENT PROJECTIONS

   

 

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DCI Links: Information NCAA Ranking Game Predictions Tournament Projection

DC Index - Information & Homepage

DC Index - Game Prediction Archive & Commentary

DC Index - 326 Team College Basketball Ranking

DC Index - NCAA Tournament Projections

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DCI NCAA Tournament Projections - March 11th, 2005


More info on how the DC projections works

Email Dan with your questions or comments at gauchodan@charter.net

 

Includes Current DCI/RPI Ranking, Current Projected Seed, Team Name, Current DCI/RPI Rating,

Current Record, Projected Record based on DC Predictions.  Listed first are projected automatic bids, followed by projected at-large bids, followed by teams remaining in the Top 60. 

Teams in bold are already in.

 

DCI PROJECTIONS RPI PROJECTIONS
DCI Sd. Automatic Bids (31) Rating   W L   Proj
1 1 North Carolina 77.46   26 3   29 3
3 1 Illinois 73.90   29 1   32 1
4 1 Connecticut 72.62   22 6   24 6
5 2 Louisville 71.65   27 4   29 4
7 2 Oklahoma 71.21   23 6   26 6
8 2 Kentucky 71.00   23 4   26 4
9 3 Arizona 70.48   26 5   28 5
15 4 Gonzaga 67.92   25 4   25 4
21 6 New Mexico 65.17   24 6   26 6
25 7 Creighton 64.76   23 10   23 10
30 8 Pacific 63.60   25 2   27 2
38 10 UW Milwaukee 61.93   24 5   24 5
45 11 UTEP 61.39   25 7   27 7
52 12 Old Dominion 60.60   28 5   28 5
55 13 Buffalo 60.19   21 8   23 8
59 13 La-Lafayette 59.83   20 10   20 10
60 13 Xavier 59.45   17 11   19 11
61 13 Penn 59.36   20 8   20 8
75 14 Holy Cross 57.50   24 5   25 5
89 14 Vermont 56.51   23 6   24 6
101 14 Winthrop 54.78   27 5   27 5
104 14 Niagara 54.65   20 9   20 9
122 15 Central Florida 53.40   24 8   24 8
125 15 Northwestern St 53.00   21 11   22 11
134 15 Eastern Kentucky 52.32   22 8   22 8
151 15 Montana 50.32   18 12   18 12
155 16 Chattanooga 50.22   20 10   20 10
157 16 Oakland 50.21   12 18   12 18
183 16 South Carolina St 48.37   19 11   21 11
194 17 Fairleigh Dickinson 47.55   20 12   20 12
286 17 Alabama A&M 39.36   16 13   18 13
DCI Sd. At-Large Bids (34) Rating   W L   Proj
2 1 Duke 73.98   22 5   24 6
6 2 Wake Forest 71.65   26 4   27 5
10 3 Villanova 69.81   22 6   23 7
11 3 Michigan St 69.22   22 5   24 6
12 3 Alabama 68.94   23 6   25 7
13 4 Washington 68.49   25 5   26 6
14 4 Oklahoma St 68.33   21 6   23 7
16 4 LSU 67.37   19 8   20 9
17 5 North Carolina St 67.23   18 12   18 13
18 5 Florida 67.23   20 7   21 8
19 5 Wisconsin 66.24   20 7   21 8
20 5 Kansas 65.62   22 5   23 6
22 6 Utah 65.03   26 4   27 5
23 6 Syracuse 65.02   25 6   25 7
24 6 Georgia Tech 64.86   17 10   18 11
26 7 Pittsburgh 64.37   20 8   20 8
27 7 Indiana 64.34   15 12   16 13
28 7 Iowa St 64.11   18 10   19 11
29 8 West Virginia 64.05   20 9   20 10
31 8 Cincinnati 63.24   24 7   24 7
32 8 Utah St 63.09   22 7   23 8
33 9 Texas 63.04   20 10   20 10
34 9 Memphis 62.54   18 14   19 15
35 9 Stanford 62.25   18 11   18 12
36 9 Boston College 62.23   24 4   24 4
37 10 George Washington 62.17   20 7   21 8
39 10 St Joseph's 61.92   18 10   18 11
40 10 UCLA 61.63   18 10   18 10
41 11 Mississippi St 61.56   22 9   22 10
43 11 Southern Illinois 61.50   26 7   26 7
44 11 Vanderbilt 61.47   18 13   18 13
46 12 Texas Tech 61.24   18 9   18 10
47 12 Kansas St 61.06   17 11   17 12
48 12 Texas A&M 61.02   19 9   19 9
49   UAB 60.81   21 9   21 10
50   Iowa 60.74   20 10   20 11
51   Rice 60.62   19 10   19 11
53   Virginia Tech 60.33   15 12   15 13
54   Nevada 60.21   24 6   24 6
56   St Mary's 60.00   25 8   25 8
57   Clemson 59.86   16 14   16 15
58   Oregon St 59.85   17 13   17 14
RPI Sd. Automatic Bids (31) Rating   W L   Proj
1 1 Kansas 0.6662   22 5   23 6
2 1 Wake Forest 0.6552   26 4   27 5
3 1 Illinois 0.6546   29 1   32 1
6 2 Washington 0.6460   25 5   26 6
8 2 Gonzaga 0.6393   25 4   25 4
10 3 Kentucky 0.6276   23 4   26 4
13 4 Villanova 0.6194   22 6   23 7
17 5 Louisville 0.6132   27 4   29 4
19 5 Pacific 0.6075   25 2   27 2
21 6 Utah 0.6046   26 4   27 5
22 6 Vermont 0.6030   23 6   24 6
27 7 Miami-Ohio 0.5884   19 9   20 10
29 8 Old Dominion 0.5871   28 5   28 5
34 9 La-Lafayette 0.5779   20 10   20 10
40 10 Penn 0.5735   20 8   20 8
43 11 UTEP 0.5719   25 7   27 7
44 11 Holy Cross 0.5718   24 5   25 5
45 12 Creighton 0.5714   23 10   23 10
52 13 St Joseph's 0.5643   18 10   18 11
54 14 UW Milwaukee 0.5640   24 5   24 5
73 14 Winthrop 0.5545   27 5   27 5
85 15 Niagara 0.5464   20 9   20 9
88 15 Central Florida 0.5452   24 8   24 8
107 15 Eastern Kentucky 0.5324   22 8   22 8
113 15 Northwestern St 0.5302   21 11   22 11
120 16 Coppin St 0.5237   14 14   14 15
123 16 Chattanooga 0.5211   20 10   20 10
157 16 Montana 0.5029   18 12   18 12
162 16 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.5013   20 12   20 12
201 17 Oakland 0.4824   12 18   12 18
237 17 Jackson St 0.4587   16 15   16 16
RPI Sd. At-Large Bids (34) Rating   W L   Proj
4 1 North Carolina 0.6526   26 3   29 3
5 2 Duke 0.6486   22 5   24 6
7 2 Oklahoma St 0.6416   21 6   23 7
9 3 Arizona 0.6365   26 5   28 5
11 3 Boston College 0.6271   24 4   24 4
12 3 Oklahoma 0.6197   23 6   26 6
14 4 Alabama 0.6193   23 6   25 7
15 4 Connecticut 0.6181   22 6   24 6
16 4 Southern Illinois 0.6141   26 7   26 7
18 5 Wisconsin 0.6092   20 7   21 8
20 5 Michigan St 0.6058   22 5   24 6
23 6 Cincinnati 0.6003   24 7