1st Round Picks vs Playoff Success

    
July 30th, 2007

 

 

FACT #1: Most homegrown 1st round picks since 2000: Celtics, Hawks, and Supersonics with 5 each (but these 3 teams have combined for only 7 playoff appearances in 8 years)

CONCLUSION #1: Drafting a lot of players in the 1st round and keeping them on your team will not necessarily lead to success, as each of these teams have a top-5 lottery pick this year.

 

FACT #2: Most acquired 1st round picks since 2000: Trailblazers with 9 (but only 4 playoff appearances in 8 years)

CONCLUSION #2: Portland has been busy signing/trading for former 1st round picks for much of the decade, but it has not helped a lot so far, although I have a feeling that their newest homegrown addition (Oden) might turn them from losers into winners.

 

FACT #3: Most homegrown/acquired 1st round picks since 2000: Trailblazers with 12 (but only 4 playoff appearances in 8 years)

CONCLUSION #3: Portland can bring five former 1st round picks off of their bench, but apparently potential will only get you so far, as they had one of the worst teams in the league last year.

 

FACT #4: Least homegrown 1st round picks since 2000: Bucks, Nuggets, Suns, Timberwolves, and Wizards with 1 each (these 5 teams have combined for 23 playoff appearances in 8 years)

CONCLUSION #4: Despite the fact that 2 of these 5 teams missed out on the playoffs this year, and the Suns were the only team to win a single playoff series, these teams have shown that you can get to the playoffs year after year without developing your own 1st round picks.

 

FACT #5: Least acquired 1st round picks since 2000: Clippers with 0 (and only 1 playoff appearance in 8 years)

CONCLUSION #5: I suppose that Clippers owner Donald Sterling might be the X-factor in this one, but the fact remains that one reason the Clippers keep ending up in the lottery is because they rarely trade for/sign players who are recent 1st round picks.

 

FACT #6: Least homegrown/acquired 1st round picks since 2000: Bucks, Clippers, Jazz, Spurs, Timberwolves with 3 (these 5 teams have combined for 24 playoff appearances in 8 years)

CONCLUSION #6: Sterling’s distaste for re-signing his 1st round picks has cost him in the past, but the other 4 teams have consistently made the playoffs with a combination of players who are either older, not former 1st round picks, or both.

 

FACT #7: Most playoff appearances since 2000: Spurs with 8 (despite only having 2 homegrown and 1 acquired 1st round pick in 8 years)

CONCLUSION #7: The NBA’s defending champion has proven that the addition of recent 1st round picks is completely irrelevant to success, although this year’s NBA Finals MVP is one of their 2 homegrown 1st round picks.

 

8 playoff appearances in past 8 years

Spurs:              2 homegrown (Parker, Udrih)

1 acquired (Ely)

 

7 playoff appearances in past 8 years

Kings:               3 homegrown (Douby, Garcia, Martin)

1 acquired (Salmons)

Lakers:              4 homegrown (Bynum, Cook, Farmar, Vujacic)

3 acquired (Brown, Mihm, Radmanovic)

Mavericks:        2 homegrown (Ager, Howard)

2 acquired (Diop, Harris)

Pacers:             3 homegrown (Granger, Harrison, Williams)

4 acquired (Diogu, Dunleavy, Murphy, Tinsley)

 

6 playoff appearances in past 8 years

Nets:                4 homegrown (Boone, Krstic, Williams, Wright)

3 acquired (Collins, Jefferson, Nachbar)

Suns:                1 homegrown (Stoudemire)

3 acquired (Banks, Barbosa, Diaw)

 

5 playoff appearances in past 8 years

Bucks:              1 homegrown (Bogut)

2 acquired (Hodge, Villanueva)

Hornets:            4 homegrown (Armstrong, Paul, Simmons, West)

2 acquired (Chandler, Mason)

Jazz:                 2 homegrown (Brewer, Williams)

1 acquired (Araujo)

Sixers:              2 homegrown (Dalembert, Iguodala)

2 acquired (Carney, Hunter)

Timberwolves:   1 homegrown (McCants)

2 acquired (Griffin, Madsen)

 

4 playoff appearances in past 8 years

Celtics:             5 homegrown (Allen, Foye, Green, Jefferson, West)

3 acquired (Perkins, Rondo, Telfair)

Magic:              2 homegrown (Howard, Redick)

3 acquired (Dooling, Nelson, Turkoglu)

Nuggets:           1 homegrown (Anthony)

5 acquired (Hilario, Johnson, Kleiza, Martin, Smith)

Raptors:           4 homegrown (Bargnani, Bosh, Graham, Peterson)

4 acquired (Dixon, Ford, Humphries, Jackson)

Trailblazers:       3 homegrown (Outlaw, Randolph, Webster)

9 acquired (Aldridge, Dickau, Jack, Jones, Magloire, Miles, Przybilla, Rodriguez, Roy)

 

3 playoff appearances in past 8 years

Bulls:                2 homegrown (Gordon, Hinrich)

5 acquired (Deng, Khryapa, Sefolosha, Sweetney, Thomas)

Grizzlies:           3 homegrown (Lowry, Swift, Warrick)

4 acquired (Gasol, Gay, Jones, Miller)

Knicks:             4 homegrown (Balkman, Collins, Frye, Lee)

5 acquired (Crawford, Curry, Jeffries, Richardson, Robinson)

Rockets:           2 homegrown (Head, Ming)

3 acquired (Battier, Snyder, Tsakalidis)

Supersonics:     5 homegrown (Collison, Petro, Ridnour, Sene, Swift)

1 acquired (Wilcox)

Wizards:           3 acquired (Haywood, Stevenson, Thomas)

1 homegrown (Hayes)

 

2 playoff appearances in past 8 years

Cavaliers:          2 homegrown (Brown, James)

2 acquired (Gooden, Pavlovic)

 

1 playoff appearance in past 8 years

Clippers:           3 homegrown (Kaman, Korolev, Livingston)

                        0 acquired

Warriors:           4 homegrown (Biedrins, O’Bryant, Pietrus, Richardson)

2 acquired (Cabarkapa, Wagner)

 

0 playoff appearances in past 8 years

*Bobcats:         4 homegrown (Felton, May, Morrison, Okafor)

2 acquired (Brezec, Wallace)

Hawks:              5 homegrown (Childress, Johnson, Smith, M. Wiliams, S. Williams)

1 acquired (Claxton)

*only in existence since 2004