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2007 NBA Draft Lottery Odds
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May 18th, 2007
by Shawn Siegel
» Tags
The 2007 NBA Draft Lottery will be held Tuesday night, May 22nd.
Despite all the hype about the Grizzlies and Celtics dividing up Greg Oden and
Kevin Durant, there's actually a substantial chance both teams will most out on
those guys. Included in the top chart is each team's chance of getting the 1st,
2nd, or 3rd pick. These are official numbers supplied by NBA.com.
Memphis obviously has the best chance at #1 with 25% odds. Notice however, that they have less than a 50% chance combined of getting the Top 2 picks. There's actually a better chance (53.5%) that they will get the 3rd pick or below. The same goes for the Celtics who have a 61.3% chance of getting the 3rd pick or below. In fact, the most likely pick that both the Grizzlies and Celtics will get is the 4th pick. Memphis has a 36% chance of getting the 4th pick, while Boston has a 32% chance.
Both Milwaukee and Atlanta, who have the 3rd best odds, are actually most likely to end up with the 5th pick. Milwaukee has a 23% chance of getting this pick, while Atlanta has 35% (Note, the Hawks pick will most likely go to the Suns).
| Team | Combos | 1st Pick | 2nd | 3rd |
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Memphis |
250 |
25.0% |
21.5% |
17.8% |
|
Boston |
199 |
19.9% |
18.8% |
17.1% |
|
Milwaukee |
156 |
15.6% |
15.7% |
15.6% |
|
Atlanta (Phoenix) |
119 |
11.9% |
12.6% |
13.3% |
|
Seattle |
88 |
8.8% |
9.7% |
10.7% |
|
Portland |
53 |
5.3% |
6.0% |
7.0% |
|
Minnesota |
53 |
5.3% |
6.0% |
7.0% |
|
Charlotte |
19 |
1.9% |
2.2% |
2.7% |
|
New York (Chicago) |
19 |
1.9% |
2.2% |
2.7% |
|
Sacramento |
18 |
1.8% |
2.1% |
2.5% |
|
Indiana |
8 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
Philadelphia |
7 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
New Orleans |
6 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
LA Clippers |
5 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
0.7% |
For some other interesting information, I suggest the following article on the Celtics website:
http://www.nba.com/celtics/stats/inside-the-numbers/itn042307-draft-lottery-odds.html
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About Shawn Siegel
Columnist
Shawn Siegel - Head Editor
Contact
shawn@collegehoops.net
Background
Shawn Siegel created CollegeHoops.net (formerly collegehoopsnet.com) back in the summer of 2002, and it has since grown into the web's largest independent college basketball site, visited by over 1,000,000 visitors per year. Shawn is responsible for the CHN Top 50,Bracketology projections (he is ranked the #1 Bracketologist over the last 4 years), as well the NBA Mock Draft.
Shawn's college basketball and NBA Draft commentary has been quoted in dozens of national newspapers, and he's been a featured guest on numerous radio programs.
After graduating from Washington University and Washington University Law School before, Shawn passed the New Jersey Bar exam but no longer practices Law. For more on his background, visit his
LinkedIn profile.
Please email him at shawn@collegehoops.net with all media requests, advertising inquiries, and partnership opportunities.
Shawn's Personal Site: Eye Am Shawn
Shawn's Humor Site: Happy Smart Book
Shawn's Other Site: Trippy Celebs
Location
New York City
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