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Tournament History: Most & Least "Mad" Brackets
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March 11th, 2009
by Shawn Siegel
This chart shows the historical "Assessed Risk" percentages for each final bracket since 1985 (the start of the 64 team tournament). Each bracket is assigned an “Assessed Risk” which evaluates the unlikelihood of the final results by measuring against past year performances of the tournament seeds.
Basically, the higher the number you see below, the more surprising the final result was. Note that 2000 was the most shocking bracket of all-time, with two #8 seeds and a #5 in the Final Four. There was also two #10 seeds that made the Sweet Sixteen that year, and only one of the #2 seeds even made the Sweet Sixteen. On the flip side, the last two NCAA Tournaments have gone according to plan. In 2008, all #1 seeds made the Final Four. While in 2007, the Elite Eight was composed of 4 #1 seeds, 3 #2's, and a #3. Boring stuff indeed.
While making your selections in CHN/PickManager's $100 Million Bracket Challenge, you can view the “Assessed Risk” at the bottom of your bracket. You may wish to compare your risk percentage to the historical risk percentages of the final brackets since 1985.
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Year |
Assessed Risk |
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NCAA 1985 |
23.88% |
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NCAA 1986 |
30.05% |
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NCAA 1987 |
17.71% |
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NCAA 1988 |
22.96% |
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NCAA 1989 |
25.46% |
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NCAA 1990 |
33.81% |
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NCAA 1991 |
24.77% |
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NCAA 1992 |
23.88% |
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NCAA 1993 |
13.13% |
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NCAA 1994 |
20.15% |
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NCAA 1995 |
18.76% |
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NCAA 1996 |
20.65% |
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NCAA 1997 |
23.08% |
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NCAA 1998 |
26.29% |
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NCAA 1999 |
23.54% |
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NCAA 2000 |
37.14% |
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NCAA 2001 |
21.77% |
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NCAA 2002 |
26.27% |
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NCAA 2003 |
21.91% |
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NCAA 2004 |
29.18% |
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NCAA 2005 |
24.94% |
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NCAA 2006 |
30.49% |
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NCAA 2007 |
7.75% |
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NCAA 2008 |
13.30% |
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More NCAA Tournament Bracket Tips
Also NCAA Tournament Historical Success By Seed
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Comments
AzUElAbDhAhg
Submitted by oem software (not verified) on Fri, 2012-04-27 05:38.
JiPIJe Really enjoyed this blog.Much thanks again. Fantastic.
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Shawn Siegel created CollegeHoops.net (formerly collegehoopsnet.com) back in the summer of 2002, and it has since grown into the web's largest independent college basketball site, visited by over 1,000,000 visitors per year. Shawn is responsible for the CHN Top 50,Bracketology projections (he is ranked the #1 Bracketologist over the last 4 years), as well the NBA Mock Draft.
Shawn's college basketball and NBA Draft commentary has been quoted in dozens of national newspapers, and he's been a featured guest on numerous radio programs.
After graduating from Washington University and Washington University Law School before, Shawn passed the New Jersey Bar exam but no longer practices Law. For more on his background, visit his
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obsUeZISnvAR
ONpYHy Great blog article.Thanks Again. Will read on...